AP: UN Scientists ‘are struggling to explain’ global temps — Leaked docs show governments deeply concerned over explaining warming’s ‘pause’ — ‘Warming lull haunts authors of key UN climate report’
…Climatologist Dr. Pat Michaels Bets $$ on 25 Years of No Warming
…UN IPCC chairman dismisses climate report spoiler campaign: Rajendra Pachauri says ‘rational people’ will be convinced by the science of the forthcoming blockbuster UN climate report
…The coming crisis of climate science? UN IPCC nears its death bed?
…Watch Now: Skeptical NIPCC Climate Report Countering the UN IPCC Covered on Fox News
NIPCC Climate Report Covered on “Special Report with Bret Baier” – YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iR52Rm6i5nY&feature=youtu.be…
Cheers! Australian government scraps Climate Commission: ‘Pushing ahead with its plan to scrap government bodies associated with Labor’s carbon pricing scheme and climate change policy’
Australian government scraps Climate Commission
http://joannenova.com.au/2013/09/australian-government-scraps-climate-commission/
Tony Abbott was sworn in yesterday. Today Greg Hunt rang Tim Flannery to tell him the commission is closed. BREAKING: The Abbott Government has abolished the Climate Commission, pushing ahead with its plan to scrap government bodies associated with Labor’s carbon pricing scheme and climate change policy. The commission was set up under then prime minister Julia Gillard in February 2011 as an independent body “to provide reliable and authoritative” information on climate change. Emma Thompson reports on this from the ABC. As a fan of big-government she allows Flannery to say the commission was independent and apolitical, despite it being completely dependent on government funds, not just to run, but to carry out it’s plans. And despite the fact that the commission omitted every inconvenient fact it wanted too, presenting a continuously one-sided story that served its own political agenda. Tim Flannery speaks plain unvarnished untruths: “”We’ve stayed out of the politics and stuck to the facts,” he said.” “As a result we’ve developed a reputation as a reliable apolitical source of facts on all aspects of climate change. “I believe that Australians have a right to know – a right to authoritative, independent and accurate information on climate […]Rating: 10.0/10 (10 votes cast)
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House Climate Hearings…GOP Rep. McKinley: Denying The Poor Affordable Energy Is ‘An Abuse Of Authority’
House Climate Hearings…Rep. McKinley: Denying The Poor Affordable Energy Is “An Abuse Of Authority”
The purpose of the House Climate Change Hearing is to shed light on the question of: How much is man contributing to climate change and how responsible is Obama’s energy policy?
So far the skeptics feel that the hearing has been successful in communicating their case to the public. The office of Rep. David McKinley P.E. (photo right) has distributed his remarks and graphics on the subject:
– CO2 is undeniably increasing.
– Some scientists and climatologists say their energy models reflect that CO2 levels coincide with temperature increases.
– But here’s a chart with 73 models and actual observations:
Not a single climate model has been correct so far. Warming has been minor.
– Temperatures have been at a virtual standstill for the past 40 years while CO2 levels have increased.
– In fact Arctic sea ice has grown 60% despite increased CO2 levels.
– And if that was not enough, the ice surrounding Antarctica is also expanding.
– The United Nations’ reports also indicates that “most experts believe that by 2083, the benefits of climate change may still outweigh the harm.”
Chart provided by the office of DAVID B. MCKINLEY, P.E.
McKinley then adds “that even if the U.S. stopped all its coal-fired power plants, CO2 levels would be reduced by merely two tenths of one percent globally” and that: “The Obama Administration fails to tell the American people that 96% of emitted annually occurs naturally“, and that its proposed regulations “would cast hundreds of thousands of workers out of work” while doing nothing noticeable for the environment.
Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Energy Information Administration, and the Environmental Protection Agency
Rep. McKinley also says “the rest of the world is not listening to the President’s energy policy” and that “China, India, Russia and Europe are all expanding their use of coal“.
Worse, McKinley points out that Obama’s proposed policy will hurt the poorest and most vulnerable on the planet:
Nations struggling to come out of poverty will continue to suffer, lives will be lost and children will be sick and perish as a result of the President’s support on this policy.”
McKinley adds that “one of the biggest moral responsibilities for the United States should be help emerging nations out of poverty” and that this can be done using “the most …
Solar activity drops to 100-year low, puzzling scientists
Solar activity drops to 100-year low, puzzling scientists – The Times of India
Article in Nature offers a ‘mix of’ 3 natural explanations for the halt in global warming: 1) Solar activity 2) Stratospheric water vapour & 3) El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, based on a paper from which Dr. Judith Curry concluded, ‘no matter what, I am coming up with natural internal variability associated accounting for significantly MORE than half of the observed warming,’ which is contrary to the central premise of the IPCC’
Article in Nature offers 3 natural explanations for the halt in global warming
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2013/09/article-in-nature-offers-3-natural.html
An article published today in Nature offers a “mix of [natural] explanations” for the halt of global warming, including
solar activity [after previously claiming such small changes in solar activity could not affect climate],
stratospheric water vapour, “which warms the surface, has been relatively low since 2000” [climate models instead predicted an increase]
and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, based on a paper from which Dr. Judith Curry concluded, “no matter what, I am coming up with natural internal variability associated accounting for significantly MORE than half of the observed warming,” which is contrary to the central premise of the IPCC.
Excerpt:
“A mix of explanations has been offered for the recent hiatus: the minimum in solar energy output in the latest 11-year sunspot cycle lasted longer than usual [after previously claiming such changes could not affect climate]; stratospheric water vapour, which warms the surface, has been relatively low since 2000 [models predicted an increase]; and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle of warm El Niño and cold La Niña phases in the equatorial Pacific, which is known to affect global mean temperature and not just the temperature of the equatorial Pacific, has favoured the La Niña phase since the major El Niño event of 1997–98. Empirical models that fit the observed hiatus have generally relied on La Niña-related cooling to offset a large fraction of the greenhouse- induced warming. Consistently, analyses of the heat being taken up by the oceans have pointed to an increase in this heat uptake, predominantly in the Pacific, as underlying the hiatus.”
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Nature editorial: ‘The IPCC’s mega-assessments are out of date by the time they hit the streets’; ‘Some fear that the IPCC is putting too much weight on a series of studies suggesting that the climate may be less sensitive to greenhouse gases than previously thought’
Nature editorial: “The IPCC’s mega-assessments are out of date by the time they hit the streets”
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2013/09/nature-editorial-ipccs-mega-assessments.html
The final assessment
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has provided invaluable evidence for policy-makers, but giant reports should give way to nimbler, more relevant research.
18 September 2013
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The first working group of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will deliver its assessment of the science of global warming at a meeting in Stockholm next week. This will be the fifth time that the IPCC has delivered such an assessment; some 23 years have passed since the first effort. Many things have changed in that time; others have not. Regardless, it is time to rethink the IPCC. The organization deserves thanks and respect from all who care about the principle of evidence-based policy-making, but the current report should be its last mega-assessment.
Unfortunately, one thing that has not changed is that scientists cannot say with any certainty what rate of warming might be expected, or what effects humanity might want to prepare for, hedge against or avoid at all costs. In particular, the temperature range of the warming that would result from a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide levels is expected to be judged as 1.5–4.5 °C in next week’s report — wider than in the last assessment and exactly what it was in the report of 1990. The governments of the world, to whom the IPCC reports, have made precious little headway in reducing emissions. And they appear in little hurry to do so. For all of these reasons, it would seem that a little reform is in order.For more than two decades, the depth and breadth of the IPCC’s regular reports have expanded exponentially and in parallel with a truly breathtaking array of data. More climate models are running increasingly sophisticated calculations, and coordinated experiments are bolstering our understanding of the results. Most importantly, the panel has increased its confidence in the underlying message — that greenhouse gases are altering Earth’s climate. No serious politician on the planet can now dispute that. [note to Nature: that’s a gross, misleading oversimplification of this complex issue and whether any political action is necessary]
After the first working group publishes its findings next week, attention will turn to the second and third groups, which focus on impacts and mitigation, respectively, and are scheduled to deliver their results next year. The …