National Climate Assessment claims sea level rise up to 11X faster than past 2 centuries (which show no acceleration) – ‘Contrary to tide gauge and satellite observations’

National Climate Assessment claims sea level rise up to 11X faster than past 2 centuries (which show no acceleration)

http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2014/05/national-climate-assessment-claims-sea.html

The National Climate Assessment Report released by the White House today claims sea level rise “future scenarios range from 0.66 feet to 6.6 feet in 2100,” with 1-4 feet most likely by the year 2100. This assumes sea level rise will accelerate up to 11 times faster than the current rate of only ~4-7 inches per century, even though observations have found no evidence of acceleration over the past 203 years, which means there is no evidence of a human influence on sea levels. In addition, the most recent data shows that sea level rise has decelerated 31% since 2002 [Cazenave et al 2014].

The National Climate Assessment Report sea level scare is contrary to tide gauge and satellite observations, and based upon overheated climate model projections which have already been falsified at confidence levels of 95% and 98%. In addition, climate models falsely assume that longwave infrared radiation [LWIR] from greenhouse gases can heat the oceans, but LWIR cannot significantly heat the oceans to contribute to sea level rise.

Major tide gauge studies find sea level rise over the past 2 centuries of only 1-2.4 mm/yr [3.9-9.4 inches per century, ave 1.7 mm/yr or 6.6 inches per century]:

Sea Level Rise (mm/yr)
Error (mm/yr)Data Used (years)# of Tide GaugesReferences
1.0-1807-20091,197Beenstock et al (2014)
1.7±0.21900-2009>38 since 1900Church & White (2011)
1.9±0.41961-2009>190 since 1960Church & White (2011)
1.43±0.141881-1980152Barnett (1984)
2.27±0.231930-1980152Barnett (1984)
1.2±0.31880-1982130Gornitz and Lebedeff (1987)
2.4±0.91920-197040Peltier and Tushingham (1989)
1.75±0.131900-197984Trupin and Wahr (1990)
1.7±0.5–Nakiboglu and Lambeck (1991)
1.8±0.11880-198021Douglas (1991)
1.62±0.381807-1988213Unal and Ghil (1995)

From the NCA Report:

Note: 2 red lines were added to the graph above from the NCA report. The lower line shows a linear extrapolation of the sea level rise over the past century of 3 – 8 inches per century. Via the report: “Figure shows estimated, observed, and possible amounts of global sea level rise from 1800 to 2100, relative to the year 2000. Estimates from proxy data (for example, based on sediment records) are shown in red (1800-1890, pink band shows uncertainty), tide gauge data in blue for 1880-2009, and satellite observations are shown in green from 1993 to 2012. The future scenarios range from 0.66 feet to 6.6 feet in 2100. These scenarios are not based on climate model simulations [not true], but rather …