AGW: more Wind & Rubbish: ‘By far the biggest piece of rubbish from the alarmist camp has been the release of a new paper about Antarctic winds’
AGW: more Wind & Rubbish.
http://theclimatescepticsparty.blogspot.com/2014/05/agw-more-wind-rubbish.html
by Anthony Cox 0.3% not 97.1%But playing nasty is part and parcel of the alarmist program as many good sceptical scientists have found including the latest Lennart Bengtsson . When you have no facts as the alarmists have not then all you can do is attack the sceptics.But by far the biggest piece of rubbish from the alarmist camp has been the release of a new paper about Antarctic winds: Evolution of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) during the past millennium. This paper is co-authored by Matthew England. England has written other papers on wind. His past papers describe how winds have driven the missing heat to the ocean bottomwhich explains the temperature hiatus. The absurdity of that proposition is critiqued here.England’s latest paper explains how increased winds are cooling the Antarctica but causing droughts in Southern Australia and causing the Western Antarctic Peninsula to rapidly melt.England’s winds are marvellous things; they can do so many things; stop temperature, cause cooling, droughts and warming; all at once.The first thing to check is whether Southern Australia is experiencing drought. A cursory glimpse of the Bureau of Meteorology site shows that Southern Australia is not experiencing anything different, drought or otherwise.There was a drought from 2000-2010 but that was not unusual with the 1920s drought being bigger and rainfall since then has been above normal.It is also apparent that England is not even sure what cause the droughts and rainfall in Southern Australia. In 2009 England co-authored a paper which concluded it was the Indian Ocean Dipole [IOD] which caused the worst droughts in South East Australia.So which is it Matthew, the IOD or the SAM causing the droughts; so many choices, so little sense.And what about these winds. England reckons they’re increasing and causing all sorts of mischief. But are global winds increasing? Not according to McVicar, Roderick et al 2012 who conclude in fact the globe is stilling. And according to Gabriel Vecchi, a prominent AGW scientist: The vast loop of winds that drives climate and ocean behaviour across the tropical Pacific has weakened by 3.5% since the mid-1800s, and it may weaken another 10% by 2100.In Australia winds and storms are declining in South East Australia and that comes direct from the BOM’s horse’s mouth and their top AGW scientist Blair Trewin.In fact, according to AGW theory and another top AGW scientist, Richard …
Watch Now: Morano on Fox News: ‘The global warming establishment has threatened Bengtsson. They’ve bullied him. They’ve pulled his papers. They’re now going through everything they can to smear his reputation’
…Climate Audit’s Steve McIntyre: ‘The publisher of Environmental Research Letters today took the bizarre position that expecting consistency between models and observations is an ‘error’
…Prof. Roger Pielke Jr.: ‘I don’t care what church Bengtsson may attend, what political party he belongs to, what football team he supports. His scientific record? A+’
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Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer: ‘We might be seeing the death throes of alarmist climate science’ – ‘The Bullying of Bengtsson and the Coming Climate Disruption Hypocalypse’
The Bullying of Bengtsson and the Coming Climate Disruption Hypocalypse
May 16th, 2014 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
Lennart Bengtsson being bullied by colleagues is only the latest example of bad behavior by climate scientists who have made a deal with the devil. They have exchanged their scientific souls for research grants, prestige, and easy access to scientific journals to publish their papers.
I predict history will not treat them kindly, and the reputation of all climate scientists will be tarnished in the process. As it is, the public who pays our salaries are already laughing at us.
Some of us (Christy, Lindzen, myself and others) have put up with many years of unfair treatment by a handful of activist gate-keeping colleagues who stopped our papers from being published or proposals from being funded, sometimes for the weakest of reasons.
Sometimes for entirely made-up reasons.
What makes the Bengtsson case somewhat unusual is his high profile. A Director at ECMWF. Then Max Planck Institute. He was at ECMWF when that organization became the top weather forecasting center in the world. He knows the importance of models providing good forecasts, with demonstrable skill — exactly what the climate models do not yet provide.
That climate models do NOT provide good forecasts with demonstrable skill should concern everyone. But as Bengtsson has found out, a scientist advertises this fact at their peril.
Bengtsson has always been a little skeptical, as all good scientists should be. After all, most published science ends up being wrong anyway.
But once he became more outspoken about his skepticism, well…that’s just unacceptable for someone of his stature. That his treatment should lead him to worry about his health and his safety tells us a lot about just how politicized global warming research has become.
This bad behavior by the climate science community is nothing new. It’s been going on for at least 20 years.
I have talked to established climate scientists who are afraid to say anything about their skepticism. In hushed tones, they admit they have to skew the wording of papers and proposals to not appear to be one of those “denier” types.
At least in the U.S., politicians are the ones who started this mess —Eisenhower predicted “public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite” — and they have the power to put an end to it.
They started