The Best Science Politics Can Manufacture: UN IPCC’s Kevin Trenberth says that over the next few weeks, the IPCC report will ‘change a lot’ as ‘government representatives’ engage in ‘a war of sorts’ over what gets emphasized and what gets dismissed
[Gerald Meehl, a senior scientist at NCAR] “But how these things get portrayed, and the wording used to describe them, may change, to try to make it more clear. The caveat is that that’s not the final version.”
That was seconded by Trenberth — who has attended the IPCC sessions in the past but won’t be doing so this year.
“It’s going to change a lot,” he said. “How it gets said, and the wording, and what gets emphasized and what gets dismissed is decided by the government representatives. And there is usually a war of sorts that goes on in that room, between governments who are determined to have a clear and accurate report, and some governments who are trying to muddy the language and downgrade the language.
“For the 1990, ’95 and 2001 reports, the main countries that were working to obfuscate and diminish the language were the OPEC countries, led by Saudi Arabia,” Trenberth said. “And the 2007 report, the country with a strong delegation and strong objections was China, backed up by Saudi Arabia.
“There is supposed to be unanimous consensus. And that is very hard to achieve.”
The struggle to reach consensus, Trenberth said, “is an interesting process, but it’s a brutal process. The chair has to have an amazingly robust bladder.”…
Warmists create new definition of global ‘warming’: UN IPCC’s Kevin Trenberth abandons temperature as measure of global warming
…UN IPCC’s Kevin Trenberth downgrades global warming to just a ‘hotspot’ that moves ‘unpredictably’
…Meteorologist Joe D’Aleo: ‘AGW theory has failed all tests, so alarmists return to the ‘consensus’ hoax’
AGW theory has failed all tests, so alarmists return to the ‘consensus’ hoax
Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, Weatherbell Analytics
National Academies of Science defines a scientific theory as
“a well-substantiated explanation of the natural world that can incorporate facts, laws, inferences, and tested hypotheses.”
Dr Richard Feynman, Cornell Physicist in a lecture explained how theorys that failed the test of data or experiment are falsified (“wrong”) and must be discarded.
GLOBAL WARMING THEORY HAS FAILED
(1) Warming not ‘global’. It is shown in satellite data to be northern hemisphere only
(2) It is now not warming. Warming (global mean and northern hemisphere) stopped in the 1990s
(3) Models suggest atmosphere should warm 20% faster than surface but surface warming was 33% faster during the time satellites and surface observations used. This suggests GHG theory wrong, and surface temperature contaminated
(4) Temperatures longer term have been modified to enhance warming trend and minimize cyclical appearance. Station dropout, missing data, change of local siting, urbanization, instrumentation contaminate the record, producing exaggerating warming. The GAO scolded NOAA for poor compliance with siting standards.
(5) Those who create the temperature records have been shown in analysis and emails to take steps to eliminate inconvenient temperature trends like the Medieval Warm Period, the 1940s warm blip and cooling since 1998. Steps have included removal of the urban heat island adjustment and as Wigley suggested in a climategate email, introduce 0.15C of artificial cooling of global ocean temperatures near 1940.
(6) Forecast models have failed with temperature trends below even the assumed zero emission control scenarios
(7) Climate models all have a strong hot spot in the mid to high troposphere in the tropical regions. Weather balloons and satellite show no warming in this region the last 30 years.
(8) Ocean heat content was forecast to increase and was said to be the canary in the coal mine. It too has stalled according to NOAA PMEL. The warming was to be strongest in the tropics where the models were warming the atmosphere the most. No warming has been shown in the top 300 meters in the tropical Pacific back to the 1950s.
(9) Alarmists had predicted permanent El Nino but the last decade has featured 7 La Nina and just 3 El Nino years. This is related to the PDO and was predicted by those who look at natural factors.
(10) Alarmists had predicted …
More about UN IPCC’s Kevin Trenberth’s Missing Heat Claim – An Eye Opening Comment by Climatologist Dr. Roger Pielke Sr.: ‘How could this heat be transferred to depths below 700m without being been seen in the upper 700m of the ocean?’
…NYT’s Andrew Revkin angers warmists with inconvenient tornado questions: ‘Note to those saying ‘It’s irresponsible not to mention climate change’ in ’11; same for ongoing tornado drought now?’
Related Link:
U.S. sees all time record low tornadoes! NOAA tornado expert Harold Brooks: ‘The 12-month period from May 2012-April 2013 there were just 197 tornadoes rated EF1 or stronger…a record low for U.S. tornadoes in a 12-month period’
Related Link:
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Listen Now: Climate Depot’s Morano Unleashed in One hour UK interview! ‘Do any cursory examination of who is behind this & how this warmist narrative was crafted and you will realize you have been conned by the global warming establishment’
Listen Now: Full One Hour Audio of Climate Depot publisher Marc Morano available here:
Selected Excerpts: ‘If you just start scratching the surface of this issue, not only will you not believe, but you will be angry…Warmist climate claims are ‘insulting to our intelligence. They are insulting to science’
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‘No matter the weather, they can point to what study they need, they have covered themselves on both sides of the aisle by all of the contradictory predictions they have made. This is where it morphs into horoscope or astrology. They can credibly cite some study to support their claim. Why? Because they pretty much predicted everything and anything as some point. This is what they are calling science…If you predict everything and anything, you will have a study to back it up. That’s where the bastardization of science continues unchecked.’ (See: Unfalsifiable: More Than 30 Contradictory Pairs Of Peer-Reviewed Papers)
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But the warmists still claim ‘it’s worse than we thought.’ But how is worse than we thought? Sea level is not accelerating, polar bears are thriving, global avg temps stalled. They will reply ‘Haven’t you heard? By 2060 they (the warmists) are now predicting x,y,z,.’ — But wait a minute, that not worse than we thought. That just another scary prediction. As the real world data fails, prediction of the future get scarier and scarier. It’s almost as if they want to distract us from reality.’
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‘Regardless of environmental scare — and we are talking global cooing [of 1970s], overpopulation, species extinction, sustainable development, deforestation — they always have the same solution. You can go back and plug and play, plug in different environmental scare, but guess what, it is always the same solution. More centralized planning, more international government control., perhaps a global tax of some kinds, management of countries, violation of sovereignty. We now have German climate advisor calling for co2 budget for every man, woman, and child on the planet.
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Morano on Medieval Witchcraft in 21st Century: ‘They actually believe they can vote in Congress or parliament change the weather!’
Full One Hour interview available here.
Related Links:
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