Spotless Sun again. Even a little ice age won’t slow the Man-Made Climate Monster
…Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry: ‘Arguments for a forthcoming Grand Solar Minimum are increasingly compelling’
…The face of the Sun has ‘gone blank’ and Planet Earth could be heading for an ICE AGE
‘The sun goes blank again during the weakest solar cycle in more than a century’
By Meteorologist Paul Dorian – Vencore, Inc.
The latest solar image is completely spotless for the second time this month; image courtesy NASA
Overview
For the second time this month, the sun has gone completely blank. On June 4th, the sun went completely spotless for the first time since 2011 and that quiet spell lasted for about 4 days. Sunspot regions then reappeared for the next few weeks on a sporadic basis, but are once again completely missing from the surface of the sun. The blank sun is a sign that the next solar minimum is approaching and there will be an increasing number of spotless days over the next few years. At first, the blankness will stretch for just a few days at a time, then it’ll continue for weeks at a time, and finally it should last for months at a time when the sunspot cycle reaches its nadir. The next solar minimum phase is expected to take place around 2019 or 2020. The current solar cycle is the 24th since 1755 when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began and is the weakest in more than a century with the fewest sunspots since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906.
Sunspot numbers for solar cycles 22, 23 and 24 which shows a clear weakening trend; courtesy Dr. David Hathaway, NASA/MSFC
Solar cycle 24
We are currently more than seven years into Solar Cycle 24 and it appears the solar maximum of this cycle was reached in April 2014 during a spike in activity (current location indicated by arrow). Going back to 1755, there have been only a few solar cycles in the previous 23 that have had a lower number of sunspots during its maximum phase. The peak of activity in April 2014 was actually a second peak in solar cycle 24 that surpassed the level of an earlier peak which occurred in March 2012. While many solar cycles are double-peaked, this is the first one in which the second peak in sunspot number was larger than the first peak. The sunspot number plot (above) shows a clear weakening trend in solar cycles since solar cycle 22 peaked around 1990.
While a weak solar cycle does suggest strong solar storms will occur less often than during stronger and more active cycles, it does not rule them out entirely. In fact, the famous “superstorm” known as the
Veteran German Geologist On Models: Forcing For Solar Activity Likely Will Have To Be ‘Drastically Increased’
…Current Solar Cycle Continues To Be The Weakest In Almost 200 Years
Special to Climate Depot
Current Solar Cycle Continues To Be The Weakest In Almost 200 Years …Planet At The Mercy Of The Sun
The following is the solar part of the latest post at Die kalte Sonne.
===================================================
By Frank Bosse and Fritz Vahrenholt
(Translated, edited by P Gosselin)
Our mother star was once again less active than normal in March. The observed solar sunspot number (SSN) was 54.9, which was about 2/3 of the mean value (82.5) for this month into the cycle. Here’s what the current solar cycle (SC) looks like so far:
Figure 1: The course of the current SC 24 since it began in December 2008, up to March 2016 (month 88) in red, the mean of the previous 23 cycles is shown in blue, and the similarLY (since month 73) behaving solar cycle number 5, which occurred from May 1789 to December 1810, shown in black.
The accumulated sunspot numbers this far into the cycle are plotted as the anomaly from the mean for each cycle. It shows that the current cycle is one of the weakest on record:
Figure 2: The accumulated sunspot numbers for each cycle, shown as the anomaly from the mean, 88 months into the respective cycle, going back to 1755.
SC 24 is the weakest since SCs 5, 6 and 7, a time known as the Dalton Minimum (1790-1830). It appears that the current cycle may very well wind up being weaker than SC 7 when it ends. Our sun is a very mediocre star of the spectral classification G2, similar to our neighbor star Alpha Centauri A. That is one of the reasons evolution had enough time to spawn intelligent life. A more active star most likely would not have allowed it due to the powerful solar winds that would “blow away” a planet’s atmosphere.
What follows is a beautiful picture from the Hubble space telescope:
Figure 3: The light blue star inside the “bubble” of dust and gases is very active. Through pressure it generates its stellar winds that shape a sphere that measures 10 light years in size. Near the surroundings of the star a planet with an atmosphere would be inconceivable. Photo source: NASA
So can single super
Claim: The number of blizzards has DOUBLED in the past 20 years – ‘Global warming’ & sunspots blamed
The number of blizzards has DOUBLED in the past 20 years: Scientists blame global warming and sunspots for rise in storms
From 1960-94, the US had an average of nine blizzards per year
But since 1995, the annual average has risen to 19, recent study found
More blizzards are forming outside normal season of October to March
One explanation is the use of better methods to record severe storms
By ELLIE ZOLFAGHARIFARD FOR DAILYMAIL.COM
PUBLISHED: 15:22 EST, 25 January 2016 | UPDATED: 18:51 EST, 25 January 2016
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Blizzards, like the one that battered the East Coast this weekend, have doubled in number over the past 20 years.
From 1960-94, the US had an average of nine blizzards per year. Since 1995, that annual average has risen to 19.
And it’s not just their frequency that’s increasing. More blizzards are forming outside the normal storm season of October to March, scientists have found.
Scroll down for video
Blizzards, like the one that battered the East Coast this weekend, have doubled in number over the past 20 years. From 1960-94, the US had an average of nine blizzards per year. Pictured is 42nd Street in the Friendship Heights neighborhood during a major blizzard in Washington DC this weekend
Blizzards, like the one that battered the East Coast this weekend, have doubled in number over the past 20 years. From 1960-94, the US had an average of nine blizzards per year. Pictured is 42nd Street in the Friendship Heights neighborhood during a major blizzard in Washington DC this weekend
In the past two decades, there have been three more blizzards per year from April to September compared to 1960-94.
This is according to research – which has yet to be peer-reviewed – by scientist Jill Coleman at Ball State University in Muncie, Indiana.
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A blizzard is catergorised as a storm that has sustained winds of 35 mph and visibility of one-quarter mile or less. These conditions have to persist for at least three hours.
According to USA Today, one reason for the dramatic …
Cold sun rising: New studies flip climate-change notions upside down
The sun will go into “hibernation” mode around 2030, and it has already started to get sleepy. At the Royal Astronomical Society’s annual meeting in July, Professor Valentina Zharkova of Northumbria University in the UK confirmed it – the sun will begin its Maunder Minimum (Grand Solar Minimum) in 15 years. Other scientists had suggested years ago that this change was imminent, but Zharkova’s model is said to have near-perfect accuracy.
…
GLOBAL COOLING: Decade long ice age predicted as sun ‘hibernates’
A team of European researchers have unveiled a scientific model showing that the Earth is likely to experience a “mini ice age” from 2030 to 2040 as a result of decreased solar activity.
Their findings will infuriate environmental campaigners who argue by 2030 we could be facing increased sea levels and flooding due to glacial melt at the poles.
However, at the National Astronomy Meeting in Wales, Northumbria University professor Valentina Zharkova said fluctuations an 11-year cycle of solar activity the sun goes through would be responsible for a freeze, the like of which has not been experienced since the 1600s.
From 1645 to 1715 global temperatures dropped due to low solar activity so much that the planet experienced a 70-year ice age known as Maunder Minimum which saw the River Thames in London completely frozen.
…
New paper explains the ~1,500 year climate cycle on basis of astronomic variables, not CO2 – Published in Climate of the Past
finds the well-known~1500 year climate cycle can be explained on the basis of astronomical variables that create a “high-frequency extension of the Milankovitch precessional cycle.”
“The existence of a ~ 1470 year cycle of abrupt climate change is well-established, manifesting in Bond ice-rafting debris (IRD) events, Dansgaard–Oeschger atmospheric temperature cycle, and cyclical climatic conditions precursory to increased El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability and intensity. This cycle is central to questions on Holocene climate stability and hence anthropogenic impacts on climate. To date no causal mechanism has been identified, although solar forcing has been previously suggested.”
“Here we show that interacting combination of astronomical variables related to Earth’s orbit may be causally related to this cycle and several associated key isotopic spectral signals. The ~ 1470 year climate cycle may thus be regarded as a high frequency extension of the Milankovitch precessional cycle, incorporating orbital, solar and lunar forcing through interaction with the tropical and anomalistic years and Earth’s rotation.”