Flashback NYT 1976: Climatologists can offer no scientific proof to back up their theories’

Forty years ago, climatologists said that global cooling was making the weather berserk.

Climatologists Forecast Stormy Economic Future

The weather seems to have gone berserk lately. The tennis courts at Wimbledon in England have not been as parched since the 1920’s. The same is true for croplands in northern France, the Soviet Union, Minnesota and the Dakotas. It’s so dry, brush fires have started several weeks early in California, and water is being rationed.

As a result, Dr. Browning and other previously ignored climatologists are getting a lot of attention. Projections that they made years ago appear to be coming true.

They believe that the earth’s climate has moved into a cooling cycle, which means highly erratic weather for decades to come

When climatologists were predicting global cooling, actual scientists said :

climatologists can offer no scientific proof to back up their theories

“It’s interesting,” said one skeptical scientist. “But some of their stuff is right out of fantasy land.”

Climatologists Forecast Stormy Economic Future – The New York Times

Nothing has changed, except for the fact that the scamsters changed the name from global cooling to global warming. They are still just as clueless and dishonest as they were when they were making money off the global cooling scam.

World’s Hottest Desert Sees Snow For First Time In Nearly 40 Years

An amateur photographer captured photos Monday of snow canvassing the dunes of one of the world’s hottest and driest deserts for the first time in 37 years.

Snow last fell in the small Saharan desert town of Ain Sefra Feb. 18, 1979, when the snow storm lasted for less than an hour. Ain Sefra is 3,280 feet above sea level and is nestled between the Atlas Mountains in Africa.

The Sahara Desert has gone through seismic temperature and moister shifts. It is expected to look greener over the next 15,000 years thanks to natural shifts in climate.

Photos of Sahara Desert covered in snow for first time in 40 years (photo courtesy of Karim Bouchetata)

Here we go again! Polar Vortex the Next Big Thing in Climate Scaremongering

Global temperatures are plummeting at a record rate – but if there’s one thing even more likely than a white Christmas, it’s that the greenies will try to blame it on man-made climate change.

Look at this scary chart. Winter is coming.

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To you or me, this might be an indication that climate is going through a perfectly natural cooling phase. But you can bet your bottom dollar that the alarmists will use the latest polar vortex activity to try to prop up their narrative that it is dangerous, unprecedented, and man-made.

We know because here is how the Guardian reported on the polar vortex responsible for a big freeze in the U.S. in 2014:

Such weather patterns, which can feature relatively mild conditions in the Arctic at the same time dangerously cold conditions exist in vast parts of the lower 48, may be tied to the rapid warming and loss of sea ice in the Arctic due, in part, to manmade climate change.

Arctic warming is altering the heat balance between the North Pole and the equator, which is what drives the strong current of upper level winds in the northern hemisphere commonly known as the jet stream. Some studies show that if that balance is altered then some types of extreme weather events become more likely to occur.

This might seem plausible until you realize that back in the 1970s, when the enviro loons were predicting an imminent ice age, they were making similarly doom-laden claims about the significance of the polar vortex. As Steven Goddard has noticed:

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Meteorologist Joseph D’Aleo: Historic December cold coming to U.S.

Historic December cold and Lake-effect snows comingJoseph D’Aleo, CCM, AMS Fellow

As is frequently the case, the climate models can’t forecast even a month ahead. Similar models are run 100 years into the future. We are supposed to believe they are accurate. I could name a dozen reasons why they w 814temp ill not be. They tell us they will go to faster computers and higher resolution but that simply produces higher resolution noise.


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CPC forecasters did see some potential at the end of November for some cold in the northwest.


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But WeatherBell’s statistical Pioneer model in November saw a much colder December.

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CPC came around to that cold mid month (they had it cold the next week) in their 8-14 day Tuesday.

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The models show brutal cold the next 15 days – these are anomalies of near surface temperatures in degree celsius (they show anomalies of -40F or more in the core of the cold!)

These next three maps are 5 day increments:

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Here is what we call a Meteogram for Chicago O’Hare from the US GFS model. It shows three sub zero day with lows near -10F. The usually more accurate European model takes them to -15F!

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The many days of extreme cold crossing the warm Great Lakes will bring historic lake effect snows. Expect broadcasters and newspapers spouting the liberal lines and the AMS/GMU doctrine standing on the snowbanks and blaming it on global warming.

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Here is a link to slides showing how the statistical models we use that includes factors the dynamical models ignore beat the dynamical models and official forecasts in recent years.

If you are in a weather sensitive industry, you should take a look at Weatherbell.com and follow our model, our (Joe Bastardi and I) daily blog posts and videos through this incredible stretch and winter.

DESPITE DENIAL, GLOBAL TEMPERATURES ARE DROPPING FAST

  • Date: 05/12/16
  • Dr David Whitehouse, GWPF Science Editor

All global temperature data sets confirm that global temperature has fallen rapidly in recent months as the recent El Nino ended.

HadCrut4 global land and ocean data

Over the last couple of years there have been many articles about how they have been record-breakers in global temperature. It’s often sold as a simple ‘the planet is getting warmer only because of us’ story. As I have discussed before the concurrent El Nino was dismissed by some climate scientists as having an insignificant contribution to that record. However, there is a great deal of confusion and diversity in the assessment of its contribution. Some scientists maintain that it was the recent very strong El Nino that elevated the temperature to record levels.

Nevertheless some maintain that warm records would have been broken without the El Nino (although the significant contribution made by the highly unusual warm “Pacific Blob” is usually ignored).

As the 2015/16 El Nino started to wane wiser heads said the records would fade along with it, “No El Nino, no record,” they said, showing that the El Nino was responsible for edging the years to be records.

It is obvious that the world is cooling after the El Nino and nobody knows how much it will as global temperatures bottom out. So the time is right, one would have thought, to monitor that cooling process and see what can be deduced to set the recent record warm years into their proper context.

In doing so it seems that you can write a straightforward article, clearly one that can be revisited in the coming months with new data, present some current data, discuss the caveats surrounding it, and still get criticised, especially about what the article did not say. Cut and past comments and quotes blossomed in many blogs, sloppy statistics are banded about, along with not a little hubris wrapped up in ignorance and gratuitous use of the ‘denier’ label.

David Rose’s article in the Mail on Sunday simply reported what has happened recently to the Lower Tropospheric temperature over land. This data set responds more quickly to temperature changes that other sets which follow suite later. Land temperatures heat up and cool down quicker. They show the El Nino spike very clearly and the possible return to pre El Nino temperatures.

Some have said the article is flawed because …

Record cold coming to ‘almost entire USA’ – Low temperature records set to be SHATTERED

Via: IceAgeNow.info

european-model-28nov16

This is according to the European model, which is very accurate this far out.

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Via: http://www.vencoreweather.com/blog/2016/11/30/140-pm-widespread-blast-of-cold-air-plunges-from-alaska-to-the-western-us-early-next-week-and-then-expands-into-the-eastern-us

**WIDESPREAD BLAST OF COLD AIR PLUNGES FROM ALASKA TO THE WESTERN US EARLY NEXT WEEK AND THEN EXPANDS INTO THE EASTERN US**

Overview
While we end November on a warm note here in the eastern US, there are changes unfolding across the Northern Hemisphere that will likely bring a widespread very cold air mass into the US next week. This cold air mass is first going to arrive in Alaska this upcoming weekend with some spots in that state plunging to 40 degrees below zero and way below normal for early December. After that, the cold air dives into the western US during the first half of next week and then it’ll likely blast into the eastern US late next week.  In fact, by the time Saturday, December 10th rolls around, there may be colder-than-normal conditions all the way from Alaska to the southeastern US.  Beyond that, it looks like this colder pattern will indeed have some staying power as we move deeper into the month of December.

12Z GEFS 850 mb temperature anomalies for Alaska on Saturday night; map courtesy tropicatidbits.com, NOAA12Z GEFS 850 mb temperature anomalies for Alaska on Saturday night; map courtesy tropicatidbits.com, NOAA 

Details

A loop (above) of 12Z GEFS 850 mb (~5000 feet) temperature anomaly forecast maps across North America shows quite well the plunge of the cold air mass next week from Alaska into the western US and then finally its expansion into the eastern US at then end of next week.  The 7-day loop of 850 mb temperature anomaly forecast maps progresses from this Saturday, December 3rd to the following Saturday, December 10th with colder-than-normal conditions shown in blue and purple and the warmer-than-normal air in red and orange.

Following the passage of today’s frontal system, temperatures will cool down here on Thursday and then even colder air pushes in for the weekend with possible snow showers early next week.  We will then likely warm up considerably once again in the eastern US during the middle and latter part of next week ahead of the cold blast which will initially dive into the western US.  A major storm could actually form along the frontal boundary zone by the mid-to-late part of next week which would bring more rain here (at least initially) and perhaps significant accumulating snow to parts of the Upper Midwest.  By the end of next

Global Temperatures Plunge. Icy Silence from Climate Alarmists

Global land temperatures have plummeted by one degree Celsius since the middle of this year – the biggest and steepest fall on record.

But the news has been greeted with an eerie silence by the world’s alarmist community. You’d almost imagine that when temperatures shoot up it’s catastrophic climate change which requires dramatic headlines across the mainstream media and demands for urgent action. But that when they fall even more precipitously it’s just a case of “nothing to see here”.