Flashback 1914: Royal Geographical Society: ‘Is the world drying up?’ – ‘Professor Gregory said that in recent years they had often been warned that a great climatic change was now carrying the world, slowly and irresistibly, towards world-wide drought.’

http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/04/21/100-years-since-crack-scientists-warned-of-great-climatic-change-and-world-wide-drought/

The Mercury  Saturday 6 June 1914

Professor J. W. Gregory, F.R.S., has discussed a most interesting problem before the Royal Geographical Society—Is  the world drying up?

“Professor Gregory said that in recent years they had often been warned that a great climatic change was now carrying the world, slowly and irresistibly, towards world-wide drought.

06 Jun 1914 – CLIMATIC CHANGES

In the 1970’s, The Polar Vortex Was Caused By Global Cooling.

In the 1970’s, The Polar Vortex Was Caused By Global Cooling.

http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/04/18/in-the-1970s-the-polar-vortex-was-caused-by-global-cooling/

By Paul Homewood
 

 

The claims that the Polar Vortex, that has brought the cold winter in the States and wet weather to Britain, is linked to global warming are based on the theory of a weaker jet stream. The idea is that,as the Arctic warms, the temperature differential between high and mid latitudes decreases. As the jet steam is powered by this differential, the theory goes, the jet stream is liable to turn from a powerful polar or zonal flow to a slower meridional one.
Just imagine a slow moving river, and think of how it meanders in comparison to a fast moving one. The theory sounds superficially attractive, until one realises that such events have occurred regularly in the past.
Back in 1975, C C Wallen, Head of the Special Environmental Applications Division of the World Meteorological Organization, had this to say about the consequences of the cooling trend since 1940:
 
The principal weather change likely to accompany the cooling trend is increased variability-alternating extremes of temperature and precipitation in any given area-which would almost certainly lower average crop yields.
During cooler climatic periods the high-altitude winds are broken up into irregular cells by weaker and more plentiful pressure centers, causing formation of a “meridional circulation” pattern. These small, weak cells may stagnate over vast areas for many months, bringing unseasonably cold weather on one side and unseasonably warm weather on the other. Droughts and floods become more frequent and may alternate season to season, as they did last year in India. Thus, while the hemisphere as a whole is cooler, individual areas may alternately break temperature and precipitation records at both extremes.
 
 
And he even gave us these diagrams.
 

https://www.sciencenews.org/sites/default/files/8983
 
Now, Wallen may have been right about the causes, or he might have been wrong. But what is clear is that the existence of similar jet stream conditions 40 years ago utterly discredits the theory that they now have something to do with global warming.
Unfortunately, today’s tabloid climatologists are so fixated on the idea that CO2 is the cause of everything nasty, that they don’t seem to want to learn from the past.
It’s rather sad really.

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A Colder Climate In The 1970’s Brought Widespread Drought

A Colder Climate In The 1970’s Brought Widespread Drought

http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/03/23/a-colder-climate-in-the-1970s-brought-widespread-drought/

By Paul Homewood
 

http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0007/000748/074891eo.pdf
 
There is a rather naive belief that a warmer climate will lead automatically to more droughts. Experience, however, tells us that our climate is far more complicated than that.
Back in 1973, UNESCO published a special edition of their Courier magazine, concerned with the changing climate at the time. Included was this article on drought in Africa.
Note that the area of drought extended way across to Central Asia – this was certainly no local phenomenon.
 

 
Then, Jerome Namias writes about some of the extreme weather of the time.
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
And what was the cause of all this? HH Lamb had the answer.
 

 
 
It seems strange that so much that was learnt a half a century ago has now been cast aside and ignored.
 
[Sorry for the blurred quality, but the original is not much better. You can see it here.]
http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0007/000748/074891eo.pdf

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Analysis: Warmist Dana Nuccitelli’s unremarkable global warming predictions debunked

Dana’s unremarkable global warming predictions debunked

http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2014/03/danas-unremarkable-global-warming.html

Paid CAGW propagandist Dana Nuccitelli has an article today in the Guardian and at the SS site gushing about a paper published in 1972 he claims made “a remarkably accurate global warming prediction” “of the next 30 years.” However, examination of the paper reveals complete ignorance of the logarithmically declining “radiative forcing” of CO2, and in fact demonstrates that “radiative forcing” from CO2 is less than half that currently claimed by the IPCC.

1. The 1972 paper falsely assumes 100% of global warming from 1850-2000 was attributable to CO2, while completely ignoring natural ocean oscillations, the grand solar maximum in the latter 20th century, the integral of solar activity, solar amplification mechanisms, and reduced cloudiness [“global brightening”] in the latter 20th century. This is obviously a highly unjustified, erroneous assumption.

2. The 1972 paper assumes the radiative effects of CO2 are linear and does a calculation based on an assumed 25% rise in CO2 from 1850-2000, ignoring that the effects of CO2 decline logarithmically.

3. The paper should have used a logarithmic equation, such as the IPCC/Myhre equation for CO2 forcing with alleged water vapor amplification:

5.35*ln[CO2ending/CO2starting]

which has a huge erroneous fudge factor of 5.35 that assumes increased water vapor will cause a positive feedback and increase total radiative forcing from CO2 & water vapor by a factor of 3.8 times. In reality, increased water vapor has a negative feedback cooling effect that more than exceeds any warming effect of CO2. The wet adiabatic lapse rate is only one-half of the dry rate, proving that water vapor has a net cooling effect. Satellite observations also prove the net climate feedbacks are negative, not positive as this paper and the IPCC assumes.

4. Even if one falsely assumes 100% of the global warming from 1850-2000 was due to increased CO2, the fudge factor in the IPCC/Myhre formula should be

x = 0.6/[ln(370/292)] = 2.5    [0.6C warming, starting CO2 292 ppm, ending CO2 370 ppm]

based on observations 1850-2000, instead of 5.35, an exaggeration of 2.14 times.
5. Thus, the 1972 paper demonstrates the IPCC exaggerates the climate sensitivity by a minimum of 2.14 times, and that the climate sensitivity to doubled CO2 is a maximum of 1.73C, even if one falsely assumes 100% of the global warming since 1850 was due to CO2 after all feedbacks.6. Dana also claims James Hansen’s 1981 predictions …