Sunday, September 25, 2022
HomeClimate411Disconnect in the relationship between GMST and ECS

Disconnect in the relationship between GMST and ECS

-

Abstract. An analysis is presented of he disconnection between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 Historical and Future periods when considering the relationship of the individual model GMST changes and the climate sensitivity. I have included a simple model that can account for the period disconnection using the negative forcing of aerosol/cloud effects in the Historical period that is carried forward into the Future period. I attribute some of the uncertainty in simulations of this simple model to endogenous model decision (selection) uncertainty that leads to variations in the changes of the negative forcing in the Historical period carried forward into the Future period.

- Advertisment -

Related Articles

Map Of Eastern Canada Battered by Fiona’s Hurricane-Force Winds and Storm Surges

Homes lost, residents flee as Fiona smashes Port aux Basques, N.L

JCU: Climate Concern is Driving Migration to Cold Tasmania

One of the interviewed migrants cites a power failure during a heatwave as being a motivating factor.

California Monarchs — Too Much Activism

“Arthur Shapiro, a UC Davis professor who has studied monarch butterflies for the past six decades, described the rationale behind the bans as “hogwash.”