California Rainfall Nearly Back To Normal In 2014

California Rainfall Nearly Back To Normal In 2014

By Paul Homewood Alarmists seem to have gone quiet about the drought in California lately. I wonder why? Precipitation in 2014 was actually close to normal, ranking 44th driest since 1895. Note that the blue line is the trend, which is falling at a barely noticeable 0.02”/decade. The bionomial filter trend also shows many worse periods in the past. And before anybody says it is only because of the December floods, NOAA show that there have been 16 wetter Decembers. More important, though, is the longer term trend, as that is really what leads to seriously damaging droughts. A look at the 60-Month averages shows much more severe droughts in the 20thC. As with all droughts, it will take time for water reserves to build back up again. But it has done so before from much lower levels and there is no reason to suppose it won’t do again.

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Analysis: ‘Sea Level Goes The Way The Wind Blows…Wind, Pressure Play Major Roles’

Sea Level Goes The Way The Wind Blows…Wind, Pressure Play Major Roles

This is one of those posts about things noticed, remembered, and linked while surfing the web. It is well known that the local sea level is heavily influenced by wind speed and direction as well as barometric pressure. Most people are aware of storm surges associated with hurricanes, for example. The same thing happens on a near-global scale, and some of it is near-permanent. Here is a global map of sea level anomaly from the University of Colorado. Figure 1 is the sea level rise trend since satellite radar altimetry began. In Figure 1, the sea level in the Western Pacific has risen 10 or 12 mm per year, while the eastern Pacific, parts of the Southern Ocean, and a spot in the Atlantic, have fallen by 3 to 5 mm per year, over the satellite era. The next interesting map comes from the European Space Agency (ERA). This map is generated by taking the sea surface height as measured by satellite and subtracting the gravity model from GOCE. The result is the sea surface height over the geoid. Figure 2 is the sea surface height over the Geoid. Note the difference in height between the western Pacific and the Southern Ocean, about 3 meters. The difference in height between the western Pacific and the coasts of North and South America is over a meter. These height differences drive ocean currents. These differences are maintained by wind and pressure differences. If wind and pressure change, the sea level changes accordingly. Next are plots (Figures 3 and 4) from Garza et al 2012, of Sea Level Pressure (SLP), and wind changes over the 1980 to 2009 epoch. The SLP has increased over the eastern Pacific and decreased over the western Pacific. North of 10°N, easterly trade winds have increased in the eastern Pacific and south of 10°N, they have decreased. These small changes, along with thermal expansion, have changed the relative sea level between the two sides of the Pacific Basin by 1%, one centimeter out of one meter. My point is that not all of the western Pacific sea level rise is due to warming, a great deal of it is due to wind and SLP change. Do you remember the controversy last year about the trade winds? One paper had them increasing, due to global climate …

‘Hottest Year Ever Claims Are Propaganda, Not Science’ – ‘Ignore the most accurate data sets, which come from satellites and show that 2014 was nowhere near as warm as several other years’

Hottest Year Ever Claims Are Propaganda, Not Science

NOAA and NASA will both announce this month that 2014 was the hottest year ever. These claims are absurd, and based on intentional deception. The biggest problem is that they are ignoring the most accurate data sets, which come from satellites and show that 2014 was nowhere near as warm as several other years. Wood […]

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New Paper: Antarctic Sea Ice Growing Since 1979, Not Shrinking

New Paper: Antarctic Sea Ice Growing, Not Shrinking

Abstract: Continuous monitoring of the polar regions by satellites has shown that sea ice extent (SIE) in the Antarctic has increased slightly since 1979. By contrast, climate model simulations including all major anthropogenic and natural climate influences simulate an average decrease in SIE since 1979. Here we take a longer view and assess the consistency of observed and simulated changes in Antarctic SIE using recently recovered satellite-based estimates of Antarctic SIE for September 1964 and May–July 1966, hence extending the current observational record from 35 to 50 years. While there is evidence of inconsistency between observed trends in Antarctic SIE and those simulated since 1979, particularly in models with realistic interannual variability, the observed trends since the mid-1960s fall within the 5–95% range of simulated trends. Thus, our results broadly support the hypothesis that the recent increase in Antarctic SIE is due to internal variability, though the reasons for the inconsistency in simulated and observed changes since 1979 remain to be determined. Full paper

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44-Year Veteran Meteorologist Calls Climate Protection ‘Ridiculous’ …’A Deception’!

University Of Augsburg 44-Year Veteran Meteorologist Calls Climate Protection “Ridiculous”…”A Deception”!

I was notified by reader Ken of an interview conducted by German daily Augsburger Zeitung (AZ), appearing in the hard copy edition. 44-year veteran meteorologist Klaus Hager. Photo credit: University of Augsburg Interviewed was meteorologist Klaus Hager. He was active in meteorology for 44 years and now has been a lecturer at the University of Augsburg almost 10 years. He is considered an expert in weather instrumentation and measurement. The Augsburger Zeitung writes that “hardly any of his colleagues are as familiar with the weather as the 73-year old is“. “Fluctuations dominate climate, not trends” The Augsburger Zeitung wanted to know Hager’s views on climate change. Hager doesn’t hold back any punches, claiming that “people are being deceived” on the subject and that man’s influence on the climate is very small. On whether temperatures are warming in the Augsburg region, Hager says there is “no detectable trend showing this is so” and that it’s been cooling since 2005. When it comes to the climate variability, he agrees with Professor Lauscher of the University of Vienna: “Fluctuations dominate climate, not trends“. Warming an artifact of new instrumentation One reason for the perceived warming, Hager says, is traced back to a change in measurement instrumentation. He says glass thermometers were was replaced by much more sensitive electronic instruments in 1995. Hager tells the SZ (my emphasis): For eight years I conducted parallel measurements at Lechfeld. The result was that compared to the glass thermometers, the electronic thermometers showed on average a temperature that was 0.9°C warmer. Thus we are comparing – even though we are measuring the temperature here – apples and oranges. No one is told that.” Hager confirms to the AZ that the higher temperatures are indeed an artifact of the new instruments. Hager also calls climate change and climate protection “ideologically charged topics“. “People are being deceived especially when it comes to reducing CO2.” He tells the AZ that weather depends on dozens of single factors – all of various weighting. The AZ, seemingly stunned by it all, asks Hager: “So you’re saying that the calls for climate protection connected to CO2 are not serious?” Hager confirms, answering: The CO2 taxes that are being levied are actually a sin against national wealth. If you want to stop the alleged climate change, then you need to ask what …

Dem Sen. Coons Claims Americans Prefer a Carbon Tax to the Keystone Pipeline

Weekend Media Review: Sen. Hoeven’s Funny Reaction to Sen. Coons’s Wacky Claim That Americans Prefer a Carbon Tax to the Keystone Pipeline

For the first time in recent memory, climate change was broached on one of the four network Sunday political talk shows. It happened on Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace, during a debate on the merits of the Keystone XL pipeline between Senator John Hoeven (R-ND) and Senator Chris Coons (D-DE). In explaining the bipartisan appeal of a Senate bill that would approve the pipeline, Sen. Hoeven noted recent polling indicating that more than 70 percent of American voters support its approval. To which Sen. Coons gave an incredible response, claiming that what the American people REALLY want isn’t the Keystone Pipeline, but rather a carbon tax and/or EPA climate regulations. Here’s what Sen. Coons said in full: But frankly Senator Hoeven keeps talking about what 70 percent of Americans want. 70 percent of Americans in a recent national poll also said they want a carbon tax or they want the EPA to be able to regulate carbon dioxide. Does anyone actually believe that 70 percent of Americans are clamoring for a carbon tax or EPA climate regulations? Anyone? Of course, I don’t doubt the existence of such a poll, which assuredly was commissioned by a green special interest. Instead, I sincerely doubt the poll’s accuracy. After all, the Senate has demonstrated time and time again that opposition to climate change mitigation policy is healthily bipartisan. Why would that be the case, if 70 percent of Americans support such a policy? If indeed there are as many American in support of a carbon tax as there are who support the Keystone XL pipeline, then wouldn’t the Senate have issued up a number of pro-carbon tax bills during the last Congress, when Democrats were in charge? I can only find one example of a vote on a carbon tax in the last Congress, and it was prompted by a Republican. It occurred in March, 2013, during a rare vote when then-Senate Majority Leader allowed amendments. Sen. Roy Blount (R-MO) offered such an amendment, to get Senators on the record in opposition to a carbon tax. The amendment received support from a bipartisan majority, including 8 Senate Democrats. On the other hand, during the 113th Congress, the Senate did take repeated votes on bills regarding the Keystone pipeline. Each …