German Renewable Energy Keeps Blacking Out! Supply Often Less Than 2% Of Wintertime Demand

German Renewable Energy Keeps Blacking Out! Supply Often Less Than 2% Of Wintertime Demand

http://notrickszone.com/2014/12/06/german-renewable-energy-keeps-blacking-out-supply-often-less-than-2-of-wintertime-demand/

My last post featured a commentary by renewable energy expert Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt, who forcefully conveyed the folly of Germany’s mad rush into renewable energy, and the country’s hysterical obsession with its suicidal fast-track shutdown of its stable base-electric-power generation. What follows are German electrical power supply charts that clearly illustrate in no uncertain terms Prof. Vahrenholt’s points. To show just how unreliable wind and sun really are, the first chart shows Germany’s power production, broken down according to the respective sources, over the last 3 and half days: Power generation Germany vs date/time. Source: www.agora-energiewende.de/Graph. Dark blue – conventional power (fossil and nuclear) Medium blue – wind Yellow – solar Green – biomass Note how there has been a virtual blackout by sun and wind since December 3 as Germany’s weather has been dismally gray and windless over the period. Such conditions are not uncommon in Europe and can persist for 2 weeks or more. Note how there are times when sun and wind combined were less tha 2% of the needed supply. Unfortunately, power utilities simply cannot call Mother Nature up and place orders for power days in advance. They have to just take what Mother Nature sends, whether they want it or not, and German law says they have to pay for it even when they do not feed it in. Supply havoc for no benefit What follows next is a chart depicting Germany’s power supply from each energy source over an entire year (sorry about the suboptimal quality of the graphics). Here we see that especially in the summertime both wind and sun can make a major contribution. But once again their wildly fluctuating supply creates havoc and problems that far outweigh any “benefit” the theoretical, imperceptible 0.02 or so degrees of less warming the planet might see over the next 30 years. Large-scale exodus of Germany-based industry looms And when the sun does shine and the wind blows many conventional power plants have to be throttled down to near idle, but can never be shut down because they have to be ready to fire up again as soon as the sun and wind diminish. This means these conventional power plants often run very inefficiently and highly uneconomically. So it’s little wonder E.ON is ditching the loss-making business of forced part-time …

HockeyStick, finally updated with modern trees, collapses

HockeyStick, finally updated with modern trees, collapses

http://joannenova.com.au/2014/12/hockeystick-finally-updated-with-modern-trees-collapses/

You’ll be shocked that after decades of studying 800 year old tree rings, someone has finally found some trees living as long ago as 2005. These rarest-of-rare tree rings have been difficult to find, compared to the rings circa Richard III. The US government may have spent $30 billion on climate research, but that apparently wasn’t enough to find trees on SheepMountain living between the vast treeless years of 1980 to now. I’ve always thought it spoke volumes that many tree ring proxies ended in 1980, as if we’d cut down the last tree to launch the satellites in 1979. We all know that if modern tree rings showed that 1998 was warmer than 1278, the papers would have sprung forth from Nature, been copied in double page full-fear features in New Scientist, and probably the IPCC logo too. Ponder that the MBH98 study was so widely cited, repeated, and used ad nauseum. It was instrumental in shaping the views of many policy makers, journalists, and members of the public, most of whom probably still believe it. The real message here is about the slowness of the scientific community to correct the problems in this paper. Steve McIntyre has […]Rating: 8.7/10 (7 votes cast)

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RSS Satellite Year to date Temps Only 7th Highest Since 1998

RSS YTD Temps Only 7th Highest Since 1998

http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/12/05/rss-ytd-temps-only-7th-highest-since-1998

By Paul Homewood We now have the RSS satellite temperature data out for November, and, as with UAH, they show that this year will be nowhere a record, as is being touted for the surface datasets. Indeed, this year is running in only a modest 7th place. http://data.remss.com/msu/monthly_time_series/RSS_Monthly_MSU_AMSU_Channel_TLT_Anomalies_Land_and_Ocean_v03_3.txt As with UAH, November is down on the previous month, this time by 0.03C, which indicates that the response of atmospheric temperatures to El Nino conditions this year has now happened. There has been expectation in some quarters that the atmosphere was still lagging, even though the El Nino first appeared in April, but these hopes now appear rather forlorn. YTD anomalies are currently running 0.03C higher than they were 12 months ago, but, significantly, they are below previous El Nino periods, such as 2002/3 and 2005. The major El Nino years of 1998 and 2010, of course, stand way above anything else on the record. When satellite data fails to give the required answers, it is often claimed that satellite and surface datasets are measuring different things. There are certainly going to be variations on a month to month basis, but over longer periods there has been good correlation, as Woodfortrees show. http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1979/plot/rss/from:1979/offset:0.2 As Roy Spencer has pointed out, satellites are a much better measure of global temperatures than surface measurements for a host of reasons, such as UHI, constant adjustments to the historical temperature record and extremely patchy coverage. There is one other reason to add to the list; satellites measure temperatures throughout the atmosphere, and not just the thin sliver at the surface. As such, they give a much more comprehensive picture. Atmospheric temperatures are also a very good indicator of sea surface temperatures, as a warmer sea surface quickly passes this extra heat up into the atmosphere. so as to re-establish equilibrium.

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Some Perspective on the Headlining Antarctic Ice Loss Trends

Some Perspective on the Headlining Antarctic Ice Loss Trends

http://www.cato.org/blog/some-perspective-headlining-antarctic-ice-loss-trends

Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger The mainstream media has lit up the past few days with headlines of “alarming” news coming out of Antarctica highlighting new research on a more rapid than expected loss of ice from glaciers there. But, as typical with blame-it-on-humans climate change stories, the coverage lacks detail, depth, and implication as well as being curiously timed. We explain. The research, by a team led by University of Cal-Irvine doctoral candidate Tyler Sutterley, first appeared online at the journal Geophysical Research Letters on November 15th, about two weeks before Thanksgiving. So why is it making headlines now? Probably because the National Aeronautics and Space Administration issued a press release on the new paper on December 2nd. Why wait so long? Because on December 1st, the United Nations kicked off its annual climate confab and the Obama administration is keen on orchestrating its release of scary-sounding climate stories so as to attempt to generate support for its executively commanded (i.e., avoiding Congress) carbon dioxide reduction initiatives that will be on display there. This also explains the recent National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration speculation that 2014 is going to be the “warmest year on record”—another headline grabber—two months before all the data will be collected and analyzed. This is all predictable—and will essentially be unsuccessful. Missing from the hype are the broader facts. The new Sutterley research finds that glaciers in the Amundsen Sea Embayment region along the coast of West Antarctica are speeding up and losing ice. This is potentially important because the ice loss contributes to global sea level rise. The press coverage is aimed to make this sound alarming—“This West Antarctic region sheds a Mount Everest-sized amount of ice every two years, study says” screamed the Washington Post. Wow! That sounds like a lot. Turns out, it isn’t. The global oceans are vast. Adding a “Mount Everest-sized amount of ice every two years” to them results in a sea level rise of 0.02 inches per year. But “New Study Finds Antarctic Glaciers Currently Raise Sea Level by Two-Hundredths of an Inch Annually” doesn’t have the same ring to it. Nor does the coverage draw much attention to the fact that the Amundsen Sea Embayment is but one of a great many watersheds across Antarctica that empty into the sea. A study published in Nature magazine back in …