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Day: August 16, 2014

Biased Sampling: Bloomberg article claims: ‘Many Republicans Privately Support Action On Climate’ – Based on ‘interviews with several dozen former senior congressional aides, NGOs, lobbyists and others conducted over a period of several months’

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-15/many-republicans-privately-support-action-on-climate.html

Most say the reluctance to publicly support efforts to address climate change has grown discernibly since the 2010 congressional elections, when Tea Party-backed candidates helped the Republican Party win control of the House, in part by targeting vulnerable Democrats for their support of legislation establishing a national emissions cap-and-trade system.

Most said they did not think Republicans will feel free to speak about climate change until the Tea Party loses some of its power to influence elections, a severe weather event forces serious discussion of the issue…

New Paper: Solar Cycles Linked To Warming Pause

New Paper: Solar Cycles Linked To Warming Pause

http://www.thegwpf.org/new-paper-solar-cycles-linked-to-warming-pause/

Long-Term  natural cycles linked to the sun could explain the pause in global average surface temperatures and offer a better guide for coastal planners to predict sea level rises, storm surges and natural disasters.

Publication of the findings in Ocean and Coastal Management follows a decade-long struggle for the lead author, Australian scientist Robert Baker from the University of New England, whose work has challenged the orthodox ­climate science view that carbon dioxide is the dominant factor in climate change.
Dr Baker, a former chair of the International Geographical Commission on Modelling Geographic Systems, said what had been a purely scientific debate on climate change until 2005 had become political. His latest paper with his PhD student faced a ­series of objections from scientists close to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change but was published after an 11-member peer review panel voted 8-3 to publish. An editorial that accompanied the paper said it was an “excellent ­example of how to approach these complex issues that are now vulnerable to often irrational and heated debate instead of the ­required proper scientific discussion”.
The Baker paper suggests a ­hybrid model that allows future climate change to be estimated with or without human influences. The authors said this would provide a better legal foundation for decision making. Problems with coastal planning in NSW, based on sea-level predictions from climate modelling, were cited in the international paper.
The paper accepts that if there is a human influence on climate change, then it could result in a threefold increase in one-in-100-year extreme coastal events. But it says, as the hiatus shows, human influence can be overtaken by long-term natural cycles, making predictions less certain.
Full story…

Poll Shows People Just Don’t Care about Global Warming

http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2014/08/15/poll-shows-people-just-dont-care-about-global-warming
Americans don’t really care whether public officials attempt to address global warming, according to a new poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates for the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.

In a survey of more than 1,000 Americans, only 21 percent say they follow the issue closely. A much greater number – 36 percent – say they pay little or no attention at all. The rest merely follow the issue “somewhat closely.”…

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