Analysis: Most Of The World’s Coastal Population Is In Fact Personally Experiencing Very Little Sea Level Rise

Most Of The World’s Coastal Population Is In Fact Personally Experiencing Very Little Sea Level Rise

http://notrickszone.com/2014/04/22/most-of-the-worlds-coastal-population-is-in-fact-personally-experiencing-very-little-sea-level-rise/

Sea Level As We Experience It
By Ed Caryl
Nils-Axel Môrner is a Swedish sea level specialist. He claims that sea level is not rising more than about 1.1 mm/year, that the satellite data has been wrongly calibrated, and uplift and subsidence errors have contaminated the tide gauge records. In my research on sea level, some articles and papers show facts that indicate he might not be wrong.
The majority of tide gauges are at population centers that are also in areas where uplift and subsidence occur. For example, most of the east coast of the U. S. is subsiding, and most of Scandinavia is rebounding. The Pacific rim is very tectonically active with a mixture of up and down. So the real question is:
What is the sea level trend that most people are experiencing?
It is the sea level average trend for all tide gauges without any correction for uplift or subsidence. Here is that figure, their Figure 10, from here,

Figure 1 is a simple mean trend of all raw data from all tide gauges, with no corrections, simply normalized relative to their 1961 to 1990 values. The lower plot is the number of extant stations in each year. The trend in the upper plot from 1900 to 2000 is about 0.5 mm/year or less.
Figure 1 would seem to indicate that sea level might have been higher in 1900 than at present. This is not true. The problem is that in 1900 there were only 40 or 50 stations, and they were skewed toward stations with subsidence problems showing rapidly rising sea level. As the station numbers increased, more stations were added with uplift or stability, rather than added stations with subsidence, skewing the data in the opposite direction. But, the upper plot in Figure 1 is the sea level experience of most of the population.
Additional resources:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/21/oh-say-can-you-see-modern-sea-level-rise-from-a-geological-perspective/
http://globalwarmingsolved.com/2013/11/what-is-happening-to-sea-levels/
 

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The credibility of UN IPCC in tatters: Censored Harvard professor Robert Stavins says document is ‘a summary by policymakers, not a summary for them’

The credibility of IPCC in tatters: Censored Harvard professor says document is “a summary by policymakers, not a summary for them”

http://newnostradamusofthenorth.blogspot.com/2014/04/the-credibility-of-ipcc-in-tatters.html

For years now it has been clear that the entire IPCC process has been heavily politicized. Here is the latest proof:A top US academic has dramatically revealed how government officials forced him to change a hugely influential scientific report on climate change to suit their own interests.  Harvard professor Robert Stavins electrified the worldwide debate on climate change on Friday by sensationally publishing a letter online in which he spelled out the astonishing interference.He said the officials, representing ‘all the main countries and regions of the world’ insisted on the changes in a late-night meeting at a Berlin conference centre two weeks ago.Three quarters of the original version of the document ended up being deleted.Prof Stavins claimed the intervention amounted to a serious ‘conflict of interest’ between scientists and governments. His revelation is significant because it is rare for climate change experts to publicly question the process behind the compilation of reports on the subject. –Prof Stavins told The Mail on Sunday yesterday that he had been especially concerned by what happened at a special ‘contact group’. He was one of only two scientists present, surrounded by ‘45 or 50’ government officials.He said almost all of them made clear that ‘any text that was considered inconsistent with their interests and positions in multilateral negotiations was treated as unacceptable.’Many of the officials were themselves climate negotiators, facing the task of devising a new treaty to replace the Kyoto Protocol in negotiations set to conclude next year.Prof Stavins said: ‘This created an irreconcilable conflict of interest. It has got to the point where it would be reasonable to call the document a summary by policymakers, not a summary for them, and it certainly affects the credibility of the IPCC. The process ought to be reformed.’

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