Not worried about global warming? The Obama admin. will fix that! New White House initiative tries to sway public on climate threats

Excerpt from E&E:
New White House initiative tries to sway public on climate threats
Jean Chemnick, E&E reporter
Published: Wednesday, March 19, 2014
 
The White House launched an effort today aimed at helping communities and individuals understand their vulnerability to climate change, starting with rising sea levels that will swamp the coasts. The Climate Data Initiative springs from President Obama’s commitment last year to improve how the government provides information about warming. It’s also part of a broader push spearheaded by White House counselor John Podesta to make climate change more tangible to an American public that polls suggest sees the issue as distant and theoretical.
“Every citizen will be affected by climate change — and all of us must work together to make our communities stronger and more resilient to its impacts,” Podesta said today in a joint blog post with science adviser John Holdren. The two will host an event tonight at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building to roll out the initiative.
The new initiative proposes to spread the word through a website — Climate.Data.gov — which will allow the public to see National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and NASA data projections related to climate change. It will initially focus on rising seas and coastal flooding, but then broaden its scope to include other climate-related risks.
As part of the effort, NOAA and NASA will host a competition among private companies for visualizations and simulations “that help people understand their exposure to coastal-inundation hazards and other vulnerabilities.” The National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency also released new mapping information today showing how climate change might affect bridges, roads, railroad tunnels, canals, river gauges and other infrastructure. And NOAA is soliciting comment from private-sector experts about ways to increase public access to its data.
“By taking the enormous data sets regularly collected by NASA, NOAA, and other agencies and applying the ingenuity, creativity, and expertise of technologists and entrepreneurs, the Climate Data Initiative will help create easy-to-use tools for regional planners, farmers, hospitals, and businesses across the country — and empower America’s communities to prepare themselves for the future,” Podesta and Holdren wrote in their blog post.

Climatologist Dr. John Christy: Climate models overcook the planet by a factor of 3 times – ‘We are left to argue about unprovable claims’

When it comes to how the actual climate system might respond to extra greenhouse gases, we’re out of luck in terms of “proof” because the climate’s complexities are innumerable and poorly understood.

Climate science is a murky science. When dealing with temperature variations and trends, we do not have an instrument that tells us how much change is due to humans and how much to Mother Nature. Measuring the temperature change over long time periods is difficult enough, but we do not have a thermometer that says why these changes occur.

We cannot appeal to direct evidence for the cause of change, so we argue.

The real climate system is so massively complex we do not have the ability to test global-size theories in a laboratory. Without this ability, we tend to travel all sorts of other avenues to confirm what are essentially our unprovable views about climate. These avenues tend to comfort our souls because we crave certainty over ambiguity.

It is a fundamental characteristic of the scientific method and, therefore, of the confidence we have in our theories, that when we finally understand a system, we are able to predict its behavior.

All 102 model runs overshot the actual temperature change on average by a factor of three. Not only does this tell us we don’t have a good grasp on the way climate varies, but the fact that all simulations overcooked the atmosphere means there is probably a warm bias built into the basic theory — the same theory we’ve been told is “settled science.”

To me, being off by a factor of three doesn’t qualify as “settled.”

Others might look to certain climate anomalies and convince themselves that humans are the cause. I often hear claims that extreme weather is getting worse. Now, here we do have direct evidence to check. Whether it’s tornadoes (no change over the past 60 years), hurricanes (no changes over the past 120 years) or droughts and heat waves (not as bad as they were during the past 1,000 years), the evidence doesn’t support those claims. So, we argue.

Without direct evidence and with poor model predictability, what other avenues are available to us? This is where things get messy because we are humans, and humans tend to select those avenues that confirm their biases. (It seems to me that the less direct evidence there is for a …