Die Welt Veteran Journalist: “Ignoring Warming Stop Would Be Ridiculous”, Missing Heat “Perhaps Doesn’t Exist”
Die Welt Veteran Journalist: “Ignoring Warming Stop Would Be Ridiculous”, Missing Heat “Perhaps Doesn’t Exist”
Veteran journalist Ulli Kulke at German national daily Die Welt has a commentary at his Die Welt blog about the upcoming IPCC report. IPCC: Discuss or Ignore Warming Stop. He starts:
According to News Service Bloomberg it is currently being discussed whether to mention the ongoing 15-year pause in global in the 5th Assessment Report“ (AR 5) to be released in late September, or if perhaps it would be better to simply ignore it in order not to unnecessarily supply so-called ‘climate skeptics’ ammunition.”
Alarmists scientists find themselves in a dilemma and aren’t sure what to do. They are eager to argue back against skeptics’s claims that the warming has stopped, yet are petrified to bring it up. Some are saying it is simply best to ignore the pause in warming. But Kulke writes:
The attempt to keep the warming pause out of the ongoing discussion surrounding the upcoming AR 5 would be ridiculous. Semantic and formal splitting of hairs would not stick because it cannot be denied that also the In-group of the IPCC scientists have acknowledged the stop in warming – at least internally – and view this as the biggest problem. It is “a travesty” they cannot explain. That quote comes from Kevin Trenberth, a lead author of the 2001 and 2007 IPCC reports. […] In the meantime Trenberth suspects, according to his models, that the missing heat is somewhere in the depths of the oceans. But this is not certain in any way; perhaps it just doesn’t exist.”
Scientists in a jam
Kulke then adds that the IPCC also will not be able to downgrade the warming pause to a mere weather event and claim that it has nothing to do with overall climate:
Just because it is still in the range of weather and has not yet reached the time span that one uses to discuss climate, ignoring the warming stop would also be outrageous because it would mean you couldn’t mention any weather event that is not at least 30 years long.”
If increasing frequency is the test that alarmists like to use, then it’s tough to get more frequent than every year over the last 15. You can’t claim a team is in a slump-trend after it has won 15 games in a row.
For the alarmist …
Antarctic Ice Sheet Growing: Study: ‘Mass Gains of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Exceed Losses’
Antarctic Ice Sheet Growing
http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/antarctic-ice-sheet-growing
By Paul Homewood
While we are on the subject of Antarctica, it is worth revisiting the study last year by Jay Zwally, ” Mass Gains of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Exceed Losses”.
WUWT summarised this very well at the time, but just to recap, Zwally found :-
During 2003 to 2008, the mass gain of the Antarctic ice sheet from snow accumulation exceeded the mass loss from ice discharge by 49 Gt/yr (2.5% of input), as derived from ICESat laser measurements of elevation change.
The net gain (86 Gt/yr) over the West Antarctic (WA) and East Antarctic ice sheets (WA and EA) is essentially unchanged from revised results for 1992 to 2001 from ERS radar altimetry.
http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20120013495_2012013235.pdf
Zwally goes on to say that “a slow increase in snowfall with climate warming, consistent with model predictions, may be offsetting increased dynamic losses.” But, of course, we don’t know how these rates of accumulation and melting compare to previous decades, so this is pure speculation on Zwally’s part.
There is nothing to suggest that this is a normal, natural process seen many times in the past.
So, in Antarctica, we have:-
Increasing ice sheet mass
Advancing glaciers
Increasing sea ice
Global warming anyone?
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35th Daily Record of Year for Antarctic Sea Ice Extent
35th Daily Record of Year for Antarctic Sea Ice Extent
http://sunshinehours.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/35th-daily-record-of-year-for-antarctic-sea-ice-extent
August 31 (Day 243) saw the 34th Daily Record of the Year for Antarctic Sea Ice Extent.
Antarctic Sea Ice Extent is 19.03105 million sq km.
Click graph for bigger. Data is here.
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Arctic Daily Ice Melt Approaching Zero
Arctic Daily Ice Melt Approaching Zero
http://sunshinehours.wordpress.com/2013/08/31/arctic-daily-ice-melt-approaching-zero
Arctic Sea Ice melt is rapidly approaching zero and it is only day 242.
Yesterday Arctic Sea Ice Extent only lost 24,000 sq km. (Red is ice loss, blue is ice gain. Click for bigger)
By my calculations, the earliest Arctic minimum was day 245 in 1987. The latest minimum was day 265 in 1989 and 2005. in 2013 it was day 260.
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Peru snow state of emergency extended for ‘unusually cold weather and heavy snowfall’ — ‘Tens of thousands of animals have frozen to death’
Public radio admits your iPhone doesn’t use as much electricity as a refrigerator, but says the lie is useful to stimulate conversation
Public radio admits your iPhone doesn’t use as much electricity as a refrigerator, but says the lie is useful to stimulate conversation
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2013/08/public-radio-admits-your-iphone-doesnt.html
No, your phone doesn’t use as much electricity as a refrigerator
Marketplace, American Public Media, 8/23/13Could it possibly be true that watching videos on my smartphone uses as much electricity as two refrigerators?“This is an example of a claim that sounds interesting, but really has no basis in fact,” says Jonathan Koomey, a research fellow at the Steyer-Taylor Center for Energy Policy and Finance at Stanford University.Koomey has devoted years of his professional career to fighting this refrigerator analogy. It first came up more than a decade ago, by the same author, then making the claim that a Palm Pilot used the same electricity as a fridge.Koomey says fighting it again now is pretty frustrating, “I’d rather not have to spend time rehashing this stuff.” But, the claim is back. So Koomey is back; figuring out just how much electricity goes into making and using my smartphone.By his calculation, it’s about 60 kilowatt-hours.Mark Mills, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, and the author of the phone-equals-refrigerator claim, estimates it’s closer to 700 kilowatt-hours.Mills is author of a report called The Cloud Begins with Coal, sponsored by the mining and coal industries. He says he wants to get people thinking about how much electricity these devices use. And he doesn’t think the controversy around the refrigerator analogy distracts people from his bigger point.“The debate makes it an interesting conversation, like we’re having,” says Mills.He stands by his calculations and his main assertion: “It is accurate: it uses a lot of electricity. Now if someone were to say, it’s not equal to a refrigerator or equals half a refrigerator or a tenth of a refrigerator, that’s still a big number.”Why use this analogy again? Why compare a phone to a fridge, when Mills got so blasted the first time?“If I came up to you and remarked to you that there is a one-headed cat around the corner from your house you would be totally uninterested,” says Bruce Nordman, a research scientist at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory*, “but if I said there was a three-headed cat you’d be amazed that it exists and want to go see it; so these fantastical assertions naturally attract people’s attention, whether or not they are real.”Nordham says the idea that our phones use …
Arctic ‘Global Warming’ Expedition Foiled By Ice: ‘It’s, ice, ice and more ice’
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2013/08/global-warming-expedition-foiled-by-ice…