Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry on Sen. Boxer’s key warmist expert on ocean acidification: ‘Doney’s [Senate] testimony didn’t score too high on my credibility meter’

Ocean acidification discussion thread | Climate Etc. http://judithcurry.com/2013/07/19/ocean-acidification-discussion-thread/

Curry cites Idso’s research:  ‘Are coral reefs really in their last decades of existence? Will the shells of other calcifying marine life also dissolve away during our lifetimes? The NRDC film certainly makes it appear that such is the case; but a little scientific sleuthing reveals nothing of substance in this regard. In fact, even a cursory review of the peer-reviewed scientific literature reveals that an equally strong case – if not a more persuasive one – can be made for the proposition that the ongoing rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration will actually prove a boon to calcifying marine life. Sadly, however, the NRDC chose to present an extreme one-sided, propagandized view of ocean acidification’…

Bill Clinton: ‘Nobody believes’ greenhouse gas emissions are economically necessary

Bill Clinton: ‘Nobody believes’ greenhouse gas emissions are economically necessary

http://junkscience.com/2013/07/17/bill-clinton-nobody-believes-greenhouse-gas-emissions-are-economically-necessary

No doubt that’s why everyone still burns fossil fuels for electricity and transportation. The Hill reports: Former President Clinton said Wednesday that confronting climate change and protecting the environment are “going to be the only way to have a sustainable economy” this century. “That is what the whole 21st century world is going to be […]…

Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer comments on Senate climate hearing: ‘Roger Pielke, Jr. was absolutely devastating in his testimony’

Senate EPW Hearing: “Climate Change: It’s Happened Before”

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/07/senate-epw-hearing-climate-change-its-happened-before/

OK, so yesterday’s hearing really was entitled, “Climate Change: It’s Happening Now”. I like my title better.
In this exceedingly rare photo of me actually cracking a smile, note my subliminal shout out to the “Coke” brothers (whom I’ve never met, btw…I don’t even know what they do):

From the opening remarks made by the Democrats on the Environment and Public Works (EPW) Committee, apparently you can see climate change yourself just by looking in your backyard, or seeing how far from shore fishermen must go now to catch fish, or even (help me with the logic on this one) the fact that smoking causes cancer.
I just submitted my updated written testimony (Spencer_EPW_Written_Testimony_7_18_2013_updated) to include the following chart (Click for full size):

This chart illustrates that, yes, we are currently warm, but not significantly warmer than the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) or the Roman Warm Period (RWP). So how is it we know today’s warmth is human-caused, when the last two warm periods couldn’t have been caused by humans? Hmmm?
And if you want to hit me with a Hockey Stick, might I remind you that there are many more papers supporting the MWP and RWP than there are supporting the Hockey Stick’s slick revision of history?
Or does “consensus” only count when it supports your side?
What’s that you say? The hockey stick is now the “new consensus”? So a scientific consensus can be wrong, after all? Hmmm.
Hearing Post Mortem
The advertised star of the show was Heidi Cullen (aka “de-certify all TV meteorologists who don’t toe the line on global warming Heidi”) who did an admirable job of presenting a litany of half-truths (hurricanes have increased [except in the last 7 years]; strong tornadoes have decreased [but she couldn’t bring her self to actually say that]; wildfire acres burned have increased dramatically [but the number of wildfires have decreased dramatically…all consistent with the USFS “let it burn” policy]; droughts and floods have increased [except NOAA’s charts say there is no change over the last 100 years], etc.).
Roger Pielke, Jr. was absolutely devastating in his testimony. Here’s a guy who claims to largely support the IPCC party line, even claiming increasing CO2 is having a “profound” effect on the climate system, yet he chides those who would try to use severe weather as evidence of climate change. …

Nature Magazine Hides The Decline

Nature Magazine Hides The Decline

http://www.thegwpf.org/nature-magazine-hides-decline/

Why did a Nature News  story use old data and not the most recent Met Office decadal forecast?
Earlier this year, David Whitehouse of GWPF drew attention to a striking decrease in the UK Met Office decadal temperature forecast, that had been quietly changed by the Met Office on Christmas Eve. Whitehouse’s article led to some contemporary interest in Met Office decadal forecasts. The Met Office responded (see here); Whitehouse was also challenged by Greenpeace columnist Bob Ward.
Fast forward to July 10, 2013. Using UK Met Office decadal forecasts, Jeff Tollefson of Nature reported as a “News Feature” that “The forecast for 2018 is cloudy with record heat”, covered by Judy Curry here.
An innocent reader would presume that a Nature “News Feature” reporting on Met Office decadal forecasts would include the current Met Office decadal forecast. However, this proves not to be the case. Tollefson showed an older decadal forecast issued prior to the downward revision of the Met Office decadal forecast to which Whitehouse had drawn attention. Tollefson showed the multi-model mean from Smith et al 2012 (Clim Dyn), which has negligible difference from the 2011 Met Office decadal forecast. Had Tollefson shown the “decline” in the current decadal forecast, Nature would not have been able to make the same unequivocal headline.
Three Models
The differences between Met Office GCM versions is probably not as widely appreciated as it ought to be. In the figure below, I’ve illustrated differences between three modern Met Office models: HadGEM2 (red), which was submitted to IPCC AR5; HadCM3 (green), which was used in the old (2011) decadal forecast and in the recent Nature article; HadGEM3 (blue), which is used in the current (2012) decadal forecast. Links to data are provided in the caption to the figure.
As an editorial comment, the more that I look at the graphic below, the differences seem all the more remarkable and well worth a Nature News article that is more searching than Tollefson’s Met Office hagiography. The successive iterations of Met Office models more or less flap to the leeward of observations, like a version of the Gambian flag in the trade winds.
The closing 12 months of the new decadal forecast (more or less 2016.76-2017.75) are a remarkable 0.52 deg (!) cooler than the IPCC submission.

Figure 1. Three recent Met Center forecasts. Red- HadGEM2-ES-rpc45 average downloaded from …

The New Normal : Climate Models Say That Georgia May Get Wetter Or Drier Or Stay The Same

The New Normal: Climate Models Say That Georgia May Get Wetter Or Drier Or Stay The Same

http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2013/07/13/the-new-normal-climate-models-say-that-georgia-may-get-wetter-or-drier-or-stay-the-same

Climate change When you have regular droughts or ones over a 15-year span, when does it stop being an abnormal weather pattern and become your new climate? That’s a tough question to answer. Stooksbury said this weather pattern is similar to one Georgia experienced from the mid-1920s through the mid-1930s, so it could be part […]…