German Researcher On Possible Consequences Of A Solar Grand Minimum…”Weakest Cycle In Almost 200 Years”
German Researcher On Possible Consequences Of A Solar Grand Minimum…”Weakest Cycle In Almost 200 Years”
Die kalte Sonne website presents an article on a potential approaching solar grand minimum.
The Sun in June 2013 – on the way to a grand minimum? New study on the possible consequencesn
by Frank Bosse
Solar activity has also been very modest this month. One has been able to observe only 48% of the mean value of the activity of the previous cycles for the current cycle, the sunspot number was only 52,5. Here’s how it looks graphically:
Sunspot number (SSN) versus months after the start of the cycle.
With respect to the previous month, with 78.7 it is a significant decrease. This is clear when compared to Cycle No. 5, which here has long been used as a reference for a weak 11 year Schwabe cycle. In the middle curve it is plain to see that statistically, the maximum is already passed. And in the case of the current SC24? An anyswer may be provided by the polar magnetic field of the sun, the poles reverse at the maximum:
Source: leif.org
The difference between the field strength of the northern and southern polar fields has clearly reversed signs, meaning the SC24′s maximum is most likely history. It had already occurred in November 1997 with a SSN of 96.7 . The comparison of the summed sunspot anomaly taking into account the the discontinuity of the counting method about 1945 shows that the current SC 24 is the weakest in almost 200 years:
In our monthly series in consideration of solar activity, a number of authors have been brought up who think it’s probable that the sun is headed for a grand minimum similar to the Maunder- Minimums of 1649-1715. That may already manifest itself in 2020. There have already been studies that attempt to project the impacts on global temperatures. Included here is a study from Meehl et al. 2013. As an input the authors look at an approximately 0.25% reduction in Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) between 2020 and 2070:
Source: Meehl et al. 2013
They fed this into a climate model. Result: global temperatures could drop around 0,2…0,3 degrees Celsius with local peak values of up to 0.8°C, especially in the middle and upper latitudes of the northern hemispheres:
Source: Figure 3c of Meehl et al. 2013.
The model used by Meehl …
Harry Reid blames forest fires on ‘climate change’
Harry Reid blames forest fires on ‘climate change’…
Harry Reid blames forest fires on ‘climate change’…(Third column, 6th story, link)…
Why farmers don’t believe in anthropogenic global warming: ‘If there’s one thing U.S. farmers can count on, it’s bad weather, and perhaps as a result, many of them don’t think humanity is to blame for the long-term shifts in weather patterns known as climate change’
Why farmers don’t believe in anthropogenic global warming
http://judithcurry.com/2013/07/17/why-farmers-dont-believe-in-anthropogenic-global-warming/
by Judith Curry If there’s one thing U.S. farmers can count on, it’s bad weather, and perhaps as a result, many of them don’t think humanity is to blame for the long-term shifts in weather patterns known as climate change. … Continue reading →…
Alleged death spiral update: As of July 15, Arctic sea ice only 9,000 Manhattans above year-ago level
Death spiral update: As of July 15, Arctic sea ice only 9,000 Manhattans above year-ago level
http://tomnelson.blogspot.com/2013/07/death-spiral-update-as-of-july-15.html
A change of pace | Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysison July 15 extent came within 540,000 square kilometers (208,000 square miles) of that seen in 2012 on the same date.…
UN IPCC’s Pachauri caught in credential scandal?! ‘In fact Dr Pachauri was awarded only one Ph.D., for combined study in industrial engineering and economics, he said. I alerted the IPCC about its misleading claim that Pachauri earned two Ph.D’s but the IPCC has, 18 months later, still not got around to correcting it. Busy people’
http://www.quadrant.org.au/blogs/doomed-planet/2013/07/how-to-impress-like-clive-hamilton…
Claim: Media avoids linking firefighter deaths to global warming to avoid appearance of climatic ambulance-chasing
Claim: Media avoids linking firefighter deaths to global warming to avoid appearance of climatic ambulance-chasing
Inside Climate News reports: Scientists agree that climate change was very likely one of the underlying triggers for the Yarnell Hill wildfire in Arizona that killed 19 firefighters on June 30. But while some of the nation’s media have acknowledged global warming’s link to the tragedy, others have ignored it entirely. The discrepancy highlights an […]…
Report: Phony credential of UN IPCC’s Pachauri debunked with help of North Korean president
Phony credential of warmist debunked with help of North Korean president
Tony Thomas writes at Quandrant Online: My next foray into credentialism involved everyone’s favorite guru, Dr Clive Hamilton AM FRSA. Dr Clive AM FRSA is an Australian public intellectual, according to his own website and a host of other sources, including his publisher Allen & Unwin. As a global warming alarmist, he is part of […]…
NO… Global warming not to blame for West Nile outbreaks
NO… Global warming not to blame for West Nile outbreaks
http://junkscience.com/2013/07/17/no-global-warming-not-to-blame-for-west-nile-outbreaks
… enviro-fomented pesticide hysteria is. The WaPo reports: West Nile virus outbreaks are likely to flare up in the coming years, spurred on by warmer, longer mosquito seasons coupled with cuts in disease-control funding that leave authorities unprepared, according to two new studies. After an all-time high in 2003 with nearly 10,000 cases and 264 […]…
NYU Sociologist: Stop using air conditioning to save planet from global warming
NYU Sociologist: Stop using air conditioning to save planet from global warming
Eric Klinenberg writes at Time: Earlier this week, as the outdoor temperature in New York City hit the high 90s and the heat index topped 100, my utility provider issued a heat alert and advised customers to use our air-conditioning “wisely.” It was a nice, polite gesture, but also an utterly ineffectual one. After all, […]…