‘Are we about to start a new Little Ice Age?…If so, we will look back fondly on the time we were all so concerned about global warming’

[Below is a scientific analysis by Professor Dr. Doug L. Hoffman, a mathematician, computer programmer, and engineer, who worked on environmental models and conducted research in molecular dynamics simulations and continues to teach at Hendrix College and the University of Central Arkansas. Hoffman co-authored the 2009 book, The Resilient Earth. Dr. Hoffman is featured on page 91 of the 2009 U.S. Senate report of 700 plus dissenting scientists. ]

‘Are we about to start a new Little Ice Age?…If so, we will look back fondly on the time we were all so concerned about global warming’ – June 9, 2009

The lingering cool temperatures being experience by much of North America has weather forecasters wondering it we are entering a new Little Ice Age—a reference to the prolonged period of cold weather that afflicted the world for centuries and didn’t end until just prior to the American Civil War. From historical records, scientists have found a strong correlation between low sunspot activity and a cooling climate. At the end of May, an international panel of experts led by NOAA and sponsored by NASA released a new prediction for the next solar cycle: Solar Cycle 24 will be one of the weakest in recent memory. Are we about to start a new Little Ice Age? […]

Scientists are not sure how solar activity and space weather are linked to climate here on Earth. They do know that the last time sunspots all but disappeared for an extended period of time our planet experienced a dramatic downswing in temperature. Right now, the solar cycle is in a valley—the deepest of the past century. In 2008 and 2009, the sun set modern records for low sunspot counts, weak solar wind, and low solar irradiance. […]

New record cold temperature have been seen in a number of locations around the world, marking this as one of the coldest springs in years. With reports of late season frost and snow falls, some are already forecasting a very cool summer. Not trying to sound alarmist or start any rumors but scientists’ best conjecture regarding the conditions that signal the start of a new glacial period are cool, wet summers. Is this the beginning of Little Ice Age II, the sequel? If so, we will look back fondly on the time we were all so concerned about global warming. Remember, in the words of SF

Wash. Post reporting makes progress! Article concedes sea level computer model ‘predictions could be flawed or flat wrong’

The Washington Post’s reporting on global warming has made an important step forward. Post Reporter David A. Fahrenthold’s June 8, 2009 Washington Post article about global warming and sea level rise does a surprisingly decent job of reporting on the issue.

Fahrenthold’s article notes that the predicted increase in sea level by 2100 on the East Coast may be enough to “submerge a beach chair.” The article then notes that the possibility of even a submerged “beach chair” by 2100 is only a “might.” [Editor’s Note: See below for sampling of scientific studies and scientists refuting sea level rise fears.]

The next sentence in Fahrenthold’s article should warm the hearts of journalism professors everywhere. “Scientists say the information comes from computer models, which could be wrong.” [Editor’s Note: Wow! A simple, but elegant sentence that is so often missing from many of today’s climate change fear reporting about what might, may, could happen in 90 years. This sentence is also missing from the rhetoric of political leaders. Paging Energy Sec. Chu: See: Sec. Chu’s assertions ‘quite simply being proven wrong by the latest climate data’ – Computer model predictions are not ‘evidence’ ]

Perhaps most surprising is that Fahrenthold wrote a woeful Washington Post climate article on May19, 2009 that was easily refuted on multiple levels. (See: Wash. Post rebuked for laughable climate claims) Perhaps Fahrenthold received a flood of constructive criticism and took to heart many of the suggestions for improved reporting.

In his new sea level article, Fahrenthold appears to really strive for fairness and accuracy. He noted that alarming scare scenarios of future sea level rise “would probably not happen for centuries.” And he added: “Scientists concede that these predictions could be flawed or flat wrong.”

Once again, these words appeared in a news article on global warming in the Washington Post by a reporter who just two weeks earlier embarrassed himself with so much misinformation. This is quite simply progress. [Editor’s Note: Other signs of recent media progress include: CBS Newsman Charles Osgood A Climate Skeptic? Questions Whether Quiet Sun May ‘Counteract’ Global Warming – April 21, 2009 & CNN’s Lou Dobbs is no longer convinced climate debate is settled — declared belief in global warming is ‘almost a religion’ ]

Below is selected excerpts from the June 8, 2009 Washington Post article.

East Coast May Feel Rise in Sea Levels