The journal Nature embraces ‘the pause’ and ocean cycles as the cause, Trenberth still betting his heat will show up
…Climate Depot Analysis: ‘There have been at least 10 separate explanations for the standstill in global warming’ – 1) Low Solar Activity; 2) Oceans Ate Warming; 3) Chinese Coal Use; 4) Montreal Protocol; 5) Readjusted past temps to claim ‘pause’ never existed 6) Volcanoes 7) Decline in Water Vapor 8) Pacific trade winds 9) ‘Coincidence’ 10) ‘Stadium Waves’
10) Update Feb. 28, 2014 via WattsUpWithThat.com: Stadium Waves. Wyatt and Curry 2013. ‘Stadium waves’ could explain lull in global warming. ‘The stadium wave periodically enhances or dampens the trend of long-term rising temperatures, which may explain the recent hiatus in rising global surface temperatures’
Update Feb. 27, 2014: A new excuse (#10) of the global warming ‘pause’ according to NASA scientists — ‘Coincidence!’ — ‘Coincidence, conspired to dampen warming trends’
Update Feb. 9, 2014: New paper finds excuse #8 for the ‘pause’ in global warming: Pacific trade winds
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Climate Depot Analysis: ‘There have been at least nine ten separate explanations for the standstill in global warming’ – 1) Low Solar Activity; 2) Oceans Ate Warming; 3) Chinese Coal Use; 4) Montreal Protocol; 5) Readjusted past temps to claim ‘pause’ never existed 6) Volcanoes 7) Decline in Water Vapor 8) Pacific Trade Winds 9) ’Stadium Waves’ 10) ‘Coincidence’
Welcome to the world of ‘settled science’. With the latest study now placing blame on Sun for the ‘pause’ in global temperatures, that means there have been at least five seven eight nine ten separate explanations to attempt to explain the standstill in global warming. There is seemingly no end to warmists’ attempts to explain the global warming standstill.
Update Feb. 28, 2014: Der Spiegel On 15-Year Pause: ‘Biggest Mystery In Climate Science’: ‘Climate models had never expected the pause: Only 3 of 114 climate simulations were able to reproduce the trend of the past years, the IPCC concludes in its latest report. The reason for the deviation between models and observations is unclear.’
As blogger Tom Nelson noted: ‘If we don’t understand lack of warming post-1998, how can we understand warming pre-1998?’
Let’s review:
2) THE OCEANS ATE OUR GLOBAL WARMING! NEW PAPER BY KEVIN TRENBERTH: GLOBAL WARMING ‘PAUSE’ DUE TO PACIFIC OCEAN CYCLE (more here:
3) Chinese coal caused the ‘pause’, published in the proceedings of the National Academy of Science. The study blamed Chinese coal use for the lack of global warming. Global warming proponents essentially claimed that coal use is saving us from dangerous global warming
4) The Montreal Protocol caused the ‘pause‘, which reduced CFC’s – …
Yet Another Explanation! New study claims low solar activity caused “the pause” in global temperature – but AGW will return! Published in journal Atmospheric and Climate Sciences
…THE OCEANS ATE OUR GLOBAL WARMING! NEW PAPER BY KEVIN TRENBERTH: GLOBAL WARMING ‘PAUSE’ DUE TO PACIFIC OCEAN CYCLE
…
‘Global warming is now said to be hiding deep in the oceans, like The Beast from 20,000 Fathoms’
‘Global warming is now said to be hiding deep in the oceans, like The Beast from 20,000 Fathoms’
Peter Foster writes in the Financial Post: As the battle continues over the credibility of the latest summary of climate science from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, True Believers appear to be basing their talking points on a 1953 science fiction movie, The Beast from 20,000 Fathoms. In the film, a carnivorous dinosaur is […]
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Study Finds ARGO Buoys Show No Evidence Of Missing Heat
Study Finds ARGO Buoys Show No Evidence Of Missing Heat
By Paul Homewood
Further to recent debate about missing heat disappearing into the oceans, it is worth recalling a study from 2010 by Knox & Douglass.
ABSTRACT
A recently published estimate of Earth’s global warming trend is 0.63 ± 0.28 W/m2,as calculated from ocean heat content anomaly data spanning 1993–2008. This value is not representative of the recent (2003–2008) warming/cooling
rate because of a “flattening” that occurred around 2001–2002. Using only 2003–2008 data from Argo floats, we find by four different algorithms that the recent trend ranges from –0.010 to –0.160 W/m2 with a typical error bar of ±0.2 W/m2. These results fail to support the existence of a frequently cited large positive computed radiative imbalance.
http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~douglass/papers/KD_InPress_final.pdf
Of course, we still have only a very short period of ARGO data, so it is much too early to make any projections either way. Nevertheless, this paper confirms there is absolutely no evidence at all that the missing heat has gone into the oceans.
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‘Missing’ phytoplankton found, but Trenberth’s imaginary heat remains ‘missing’
‘Missing’ phytoplankton found, but Trenberth’s imaginary heat remains ‘missing’
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2013/09/missing-phytoplankton-found-but.html
A new study finds “NASA satellites may have missed more than 50% of the phytoplankton in the Southern Ocean, making it far more difficult to estimate the carbon capture potential of this vast area of sea.” The paper adds to several other recent peer-reviewed publications demonstrating prior assumptions about the global carbon cycle may be highly erroneous, as well as the modelling derived from these assumptions.However, Trenberth’s imaginary heat from CO2 is still ‘missing’ from both the atmosphere and the deep oceans. The very sparse, deep-ocean temperature observations show only a 0.01C warming over 44 years, which is much, much less than the instrument uncertainty.
Deep ocean observations in green show only 0.01C warming over 44 years, much less than uncertainty and measurement error. The remaining lines are all from models, which, as usual, are all over the map showing equally warming or cooling. Source
In addition, if the “oceans ate the global warming,” steric sea level rise from thermal expansion should have accelerated sea level rise, but the data shows no evidence of acceleration.
Algorithm finds missing phytoplankton in Southern Ocean
by Staff WritersCanberra, Australia (SPX) Sep 24, 2013
To get the observations needed to make valid comparisons and develop the algorithm, the researchers used more than 1000 Southern Ocean phytoplankton samples collected over 10 years and compared these to satellite measurements.
NASA satellites may have missed more than 50% of the phytoplankton in the Southern Ocean, making it far more difficult to estimate the carbon capture potential of this vast area of sea.
But now, new research published in the Journal of Geophysical Research, Three improved satellite chlorophyll algorithms for the Southern Ocean (doi:10.1002/jgrc.20270), has led to the development of an algorithm that produces substantially more accurate estimates of Southern Ocean phytoplankton populations.
That research from the University of Tasmania’s Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS) was led by PhD student Rob Johnson and Associate Prof Peter Strutton
“This new algorithm allows us to detect changes in plankton numbers that have previously gone unnoticed,” said Mr Johnson.
“This better understanding of the phytoplankton population will, in turn, allow us to gain a much more accurate idea of how much carbon this ocean can take up.”
The importance of phytoplankton and their role in our planetary ecosystem cannot be underestimated. They form the base of the marine food …