Climate Activists Seek To Redefine What A Hurricane Is ‘So We’ll Have More Of Them’ – Every storm now will be ‘unprecedented’
…NOAA: SO FAR ANOTHER BELOW-NORMAL TORNADO SEASON IN THE US
Overview
The “official” Atlantic Basin hurricane season has just begun and it may be more active than recent years and also compared to normal (tropical outlook), but so far the tornado season in the US has been below-normal which continues a trend over the past several years. Through the end of May, the preliminary number of tornadoes reported across the US is 605 and this compares to the 10-year normal of 788. This below-normal reading at the end of May comes despite a quick start to above-normal levels early in the year following a somewhat unusual large outbreak of tornadoes during the month of February. Fortunately, it has not been since 2011 in which the US actually had an above-normal number of tornadoes at this time of year.
Some reasons for the below-normal activity
In a typical tornado season, favorable conditions for widespread outbreaks in the central Plains and Midwest generally include colder-than-normal conditions to the north and west (i.e., across the Rockies, Pacific Northwest) and hot, humid conditions to the south and east (i.e., in the Deep South). However, during the months of March, April and May of this year, this type of “favorable” temperature pattern for tornadoes was simply not too prevalent. In fact, the composite map for April temperature anomalies (bottom, left) across the US showswarmer-than-normal conditions across the Northern Rockies/Pacific Northwest and generally near normal temperatures in the Deep South. In addition, the precipitation anomalies map for April (below, right) shows that the Deep South and central Plains were wetter-than-normal and this actually helped to keep temperatures down somewhat compared to what could have occurred if soil moisture was low.
Analysis: ‘Bill Nye Is A Huckster’- ‘Diminishes his nickname by resorting to scaremonger-y nuggets of easily dismissible ideologically-motivated nonsense’
…Climate Skeptics turn tables on ‘attribution’ studies – Ask: Is ‘global warming’ causing a decrease in ‘extreme weather’ events?
Washington DC — Despite the fact that the climate data clearly shows declining or no trends in many major indicators of “extreme weather” like tornadoes, hurricanes, rainfall, droughts and heatwaves, climate activists are once again seemingly trying to link every storm to “global warming.”
Man-made global warming proponents are touting yet another study claiming to attribute “extreme weather” to man-made global warming. See: Scientists: ‘Links Between Climate Change and Extreme Weather Are Clear‘
While such studies rely on modeling claims and other assorted statistical methods to “attribute” “global warming” to specific storms, these studies never examine why “extreme weather” is not increasing. The Associated Press is claiming that “Starting in 2004, dozens of complex peer-reviewed studies found the odds of some extreme events — but by no means all — were goosed by man-made climate change.”
Yes, the AP is claiming that “complex” studies found “the odds of some extreme events” are being “goosed by man-made climate change.” Complex? Odds? Goosed? Really?
The AP’s resident climate activist writer Seth Borenstein continued: “When it comes to heat waves, droughts, heavy rain and some other events, scientists who do rigorous research can say whether they was more likely or more severe because of man-made global warming.” Rigorous? (Note: AP’s Borenstein relies on a small cadre of activist scientists to support the “rigorous” claims. Activists like UN IPCC’s Michael Oppenheimer, David Titley and Katharine Hayhoe)
Climate Depot’s Rebuttal:
If “global warming” can cause specific storms or extreme weather events to occur, how come “global warming” can’t cause the significant lack of “extreme weather?” NOAA: Number of major tornadoes in 2015 was ‘one of the lowest on record’ – Tornadoes below average for 4th year in a row –
Is “global warming” causing a decrease in “extreme weather” events? A 2015 study found just that. See: New paper finds global warming reduces intense storms & extreme weather – A paper published in Science contradicts the prior belief that global warming, if it resumes, will fuel more intense storms, finding instead that an increase in water vapor and strengthened hydrological cycle will reduce the atmosphere’s ability to perform thermodynamic Work, thus decreasing the formation of intense winds, storms, and hurricanes.
The media is indulging in what
NOAA: Number of major tornadoes in 2015 was ‘one of the lowest on record’ – Tornadoes below average for 4th year in a row –
Via: https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2016/03/10/tornado-stats-for-2015/
By Paul Homewood
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#data
NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center have now finalised their tornado data for 2015.
The year finished with 481 tornadoes of EF-1 strength or greater, the fourth year in a row that has been below average.
Perhaps more significantly, the number of EF-3 and stronger tornadoes was one of the lowest on record. You have to go back to 1987 to find fewer. There were no EF-5s at all, and only three EF-4s.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#data
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Related Links:
Flawed Claim of New Study: ‘Extreme Tornado Outbreaks Have Become More Common’
2015 will likely end as the least-deadly tornado year on record in U.S.
Flawed Claim of New Study: ‘Extreme Tornado Outbreaks Have Become More Common’
Flawed Claim of New Study: ‘Extreme Tornado Outbreaks Have Become More Common’
A new paper shows that the average number of tornadoes per outbreak has grown by more than 40% over the last half century. The likelihood of extreme outbreaks – those with many tornadoes – is also greater. This paper is flawed from the start, right from the raw data itself, read on to see why – Anthony […]
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Extreme Weather Expert Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.: Despite claims of ‘warmest ever’ – 2015 ‘had the lowest catastrophe losses in a generation’
Roger Pielke Jr., environmental studies professor at the University of Colorado Boulder, said that there were fewer extreme weather events despite the warm temperatures. Climate-change groups have argued that global warming contribute to hurricanes and other weather-related disasters.
“It’d be great if just one journalist (any!) would note that 2015 — warmest year ever — also had the lowest catastrophe losses in a generation,” Mr. Pielke said on Twitter.
…
UN: Weather-Related Disasters Occur Almost Daily
…Claim: ‘In America, 200 Million People Will Suffer ‘Psychological Distress’ From ‘Climate Change’
A report published by the National Wildlife Foundation finds that the majority of Americans can expect to suffer mental health problems as a result of global warming and warns that our mental health system is not equipped to handle it.
“The interplay between the climate realities we likely face and the potential psychological fallout from them was the subject of a conference convened in Washington D.C., in March 2009,” write Lise van Susteren, MD, and Kevin J. Doyle, JD, introducing their work. “A highly respected group of experts offered insights. Their thoughts, recommendations and supporting evidence are presented in this report.”
“The Psychological Effects of Global Warming on the United States,” examines the hitherto undiscussed effects of increasingly prevalent extreme weather, sea level rise, drought and other impacts of climate change on mental health. How will we cope with a changing world?
“The incidences of mental and social disorders will rise steeply. These will include depressive and anxiety disorders, post traumatic stress disorders, substance abuse, suicides, and widespread outbreaks of violence. Children, the poor, the elderly, and those with existing mental health disorders are especially vulnerable and will be hardest hit.”
The report’s findings are the subject of the first episode of Bill Nye’s new show, “Global Meltdown.”
He compares our gradual acceptance of the realities of global warming to the five stages of grief: denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance.…
2015 will likely end as the least-deadly tornado year on record in U.S.
Using statistics compiled back to 1875, Weather Underground’s Bob Henson shows how low this year’s tornado deaths have actually been. “If this number holds through the end of the year, it will beat the 12 deaths reported in 1910 to become the lowest annual total on record,” Henson says.
Two sources of statistics were combined to create the long period of record. The National Weather Service’s Storm Prediction Center keeps a file on tornado deaths since 1950. Thomas Grazulis, an author and tornado historian, has combed through archives and old newspapers to create a tornado fatalities database back to 1875.
“If anything, the Grazulis numbers may be on the low side,” Henson writes, “which gives added confidence that the nation has indeed seen a remarkably safe year tornado-wise in 2015.”…