Green Guru James Lovelock says Warmist claims ‘mistaken’ in interview in Journal Nature: ‘The thing we’ve all forgotten is the heat storage of the ocean — it’s a thousand times greater than the atmosphere and the surface. You can’t change that very rapidly’
…When reality fails, make scarier predictions! Warmist Climatologist: When Souped-Up Ocean Warming Ends, ‘Global Temperatures Look Set To Rise Rapidly’
…New paper finds excuse #8 for the ‘pause’ in global warming: Strengthening Pacific trade winds
New paper finds excuse #8 for the ‘pause’ in global warming: Pacific trade winds
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2014/02/new-paper-finds-excuse-8-for-pause-in.html
A paper published today in Nature Climate Change adds the eighth excuse for the ‘pause’ in global warming: strengthened Pacific trade winds, which according to the authors, were “not captured [simulated] by climate models.” On the basis of those same highly-flawed climate models, the authors predict rapid global warming will resume in a decade or so when those trade winds abate.Climate Depot Analysis: ‘There have been at least seven separate explanations for the standstill in global warming’ – 1) Low Solar Activity; 2) Oceans Ate Warming; 3) Chinese Coal Use; 4) Montreal Protocol; 5) Readjusted past temps to claim ‘pause’ never existed 6) Volcanoes 7) Decline in Water Vapor09.02.2014Trade winds may be a significant cause of the so called global warming pause, according to new research.
An article published online today in Nature Climate Change investigates how strengthened Pacific trade winds can account for 0.1C- 0.2C of cooling through increased subsurface ocean heat uptake – this is enough to account for much of the temperature slowdown in the so called global warming pause.Global average surface temperatures rose sharply during the second half of the 20th century before leveling off since the late 1990s despite a continuing increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. Scientists have yet to fully explain the recent slowdown in the rise of air temperatures attributed to the so called global warming pause that, on at least one measure, has lasted for over 17 years.Although cool surface waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean have been identified as a key component of this feature, it has so far been unclear how this occurs. The paper published online in Nature Climate Change this week investigates how strengthened Pacific trade winds can account for 0.1–0.2°C cooling — much of the temperature slowdown — through increased subsurface ocean heat uptake.Matthew England from the University of New South Wales and co-workers used observations and climate models to investigate the impact of increased trade winds on climate.They showed that when the model is forced by the irregularly strong winds, the sea surface response matches observed trends. The shallow ocean circulation loops are sped up by the intensified winds, causing increased equatorial upwelling of cool waters and the subduction of warm water, or heat drawdown, to the subsurface layer.They find that around 80% of the surface temperature cooling occurred after …
Warmer Waters during Medieval Warm Period: 20 researchers report that ‘in recent decades temperatures have been similar to those inferred for the ‘Medieval Climate Anomaly’
…Gore: ‘Fertility management’ is needed to reduce the number of Africans to help ‘control the proliferation of unusual weather’
Former Vice President Al Gore and Microsoft founder Bill Gates said at the World Economic Forum in Davos that contraception is a key in controlling the proliferation of unusual weather they say is endangering the world. “Depressing the rate of child mortality, educating girls, empowering women and making fertility management ubiquitously available … is crucial to the future shape of human civilization,” said Gore, who won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2007 for his work on global warming. Gore said Africa’s population is expected to surpass India’s and China’s by the mid-21st century and will be more than both combined by the end of the century.
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Related Links: Flashback 2011: ‘Fertility Management’: Al Gore Calls on Women to Have Fewer Children…to Curb Pollution Reality Check on Overpopulation claims: Slate Mag on the new population problem — UNDERPOPULATION! ‘And in the long term—on the order of centuries—we could be looking at the literal extinction of humanity’ – ‘That might sound like an outrageous claim, but it comes down to simple math. According to a 2008 IIASA report, if the world stabilizes at a total fertility rate of 1.5—where Europe is today—then by 2200 the global population will fall to half of what it is today. By 2300, it’ll barely scratch 1 billion. Extend the trend line, and within a few dozen generations you’re talking about a global population small enough to fit in a nursing home’
Paging Ehrlich! Slate Mag: ‘About That Overpopulation Problem. Research suggests we may actually face a — declining world population in the coming years’ – ‘The rate of global population growth has slowed. And it’s expected to keep slowing. Indeed, according to experts’ best estimates, the total population of Earth will stop growing within the lifespan of people alive today. And then it will fall’ — ‘Population decline is a very familiar concept in the rest of the developed world, where fertility has long since fallen far below the 2.1 live births per woman required to maintain population equilibrium’
Climate Depot’s Factsheet on Overpopulation – ‘Is too few people the new ‘population problem?’
Analysis: The Ocean Thermometer reveals Global Warming Lies
…THE OCEANS ATE OUR GLOBAL WARMING! NEW PAPER BY KEVIN TRENBERTH: GLOBAL WARMING ‘PAUSE’ DUE TO PACIFIC OCEAN CYCLE
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New paper finds sea level rise has decelerated 44% since 2004 to only 7 inches per century – Published in Global and Planetary Change
New paper finds sea level rise has decelerated 44% since 2004 to only 7 inches per century
JM Gregory et al Journal of Climate 2012
M Beenstock et al 2013
NOAA 2005-2012 Sea Level Budget
Dean & Houston 2011 & 2013
Scafetta 2013
Holgate 2007
Boretti 2012
Morner 2004
Jevrejeva et al., 2006 & 2008
Wöppelmann et al., 2009
Roemmich et al 2013
IPCC 2007:
“no long-term acceleration of sea level has been identified using 20th-century data alone.”
IPCC 2013:
“It is likely that GMSL [Global Mean Sea Level] rose between 1920 and 1950 at a rate comparable to that observed between 1993 and 2010”
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| Fig. 2.
The instantaneous rate of interannual variability of (a) the GMSL, (b) the global mean steric sea level, and (c) the global mean ocean mass, i.e. the first-order time derivative of third IMFs shown in Fig. 1.
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| Fig. 3.
a. Regression of total sea level (observed by altimeters) during 1993-2012 on the third IMF of the GMSL given in Fig. 1a.
b. Same as Fig. 3a but for the steric sea level.
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| Fig. 4.
a. The intrinsic trend of the GMSL, i.e. the first-order time-derivative of the trend function of |
New paper finds ice core CO2 levels lag temperature by up to 5,000 years – Published in Climate of the Past
New paper finds ice core CO2 levels lag temperature by up to 5,000 years
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2013/11/new-paper-finds-ice-core-co2-levels-lag.html
A new paper published in Climate of the Past finds that CO2 levels lagged temperature changes in East Antarctic ice cores by 500-1500 years during the warming at the onset of the last interglacial, and lagged temperatures by 5,000 years after the start of glaciation at end of the last interglacial [~120,000 years ago].
Despite Al Gore’s attempt to obscure this inconvenient truth, temperatures lead CO2 levels on long, intermediate, and short-term timescales, on both the upside and the downside. CO2 cannot be the ‘control knob’ or ‘amplifier’ of climate, because the tail does not wag the dog, the cause does not follow the effect, and the globe starts to warm and cool 500-5000 years in advance of CO2 changes.
Clim. Past, 9, 2507-2523, 2013www.clim-past.net/9/2507/2013/doi:10.5194/cp-9-2507-2013
A reconstruction of atmospheric carbon dioxide and its stable carbon isotopic composition from the penultimate glacial maximum to the last glacial inception
R. Schneider1,2, J. Schmitt1,2,3, P. Köhler3, F. Joos1,2, and H. Fischer1,2,31Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Sidlerstrasse 5, 3012 Bern, Switzerland2Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland3Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI), P.O. Box 12 01 61, 27515 Bremerhaven, GermanyAbstract. The reconstruction of the stable carbon isotope evolution in atmospheric CO2 (δ13Catm), as archived in Antarctic ice cores, bears the potential to disentangle the contributions of the different carbon cycle fluxes causing past CO2 variations. Here we present a new record of δ13Catm before, during and after the Marine Isotope Stage 5.5 (155 000 to 105 000 yr BP). The dataset is archived on the data repository PANGEA® (www.pangea.de) under 10.1594/PANGAEA.817041. The record was derived with a well established sublimation method using ice from the EPICA Dome C (EDC) and the Talos Dome ice cores in East Antarctica. We find a 0.4‰ shift to heavier values between the mean δ13Catm level in the Penultimate (~ 140 000 yr BP) and Last Glacial Maximum (~ 22 000 yr BP), which can be explained by either (i) changes in the isotopic composition or (ii) intensity of the carbon input fluxes to the combined ocean/atmosphere carbon reservoir or (iii) by long-term peat buildup. Our isotopic data suggest that the carbon cycle evolution along Termination II and the subsequent interglacial was controlled by essentially the same processes as during the …