Meteorologist Joe D’Aleo: ‘AGW theory has failed all tests, so alarmists return to the ‘consensus’ hoax’

May 31, 2013

AGW theory has failed all tests, so alarmists return to the ‘consensus’ hoax

Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, Weatherbell Analytics

National Academies of Science defines a scientific theory as

“a well-substantiated explanation of the natural world that can incorporate facts, laws, inferences, and tested hypotheses.”

Dr Richard Feynman, Cornell Physicist in a lecture explained how theorys that failed the test of data or experiment are falsified (“wrong”) and must be discarded.

GLOBAL WARMING THEORY HAS FAILED

(1) Warming not ‘global’. It is shown in satellite data to be northern hemisphere only

(2) It is now not warming. Warming (global mean and northern hemisphere) stopped in the 1990s

(3) Models suggest atmosphere should warm 20% faster than surface but surface warming was 33% faster during the time satellites and surface observations used. This suggests GHG theory wrong, and surface temperature contaminated

(4) Temperatures longer term have been modified to enhance warming trend and minimize cyclical appearance. Station dropout, missing data, change of local siting, urbanization, instrumentation contaminate the record, producing exaggerating warming. The GAO scolded NOAA for poor compliance with siting standards.

(5) Those who create the temperature records have been shown in analysis and emails to take steps to eliminate inconvenient temperature trends like the Medieval Warm Period, the 1940s warm blip and cooling since 1998. Steps have included removal of the urban heat island adjustment and as Wigley suggested in a climategate email, introduce 0.15C of artificial cooling of global ocean temperatures near 1940.

(6) Forecast models have failed with temperature trends below even the assumed zero emission control scenarios

(7) Climate models all have a strong hot spot in the mid to high troposphere in the tropical regions. Weather balloons and satellite show no warming in this region the last 30 years.

(8) Ocean heat content was forecast to increase and was said to be the canary in the coal mine. It too has stalled according to NOAA PMEL. The warming was to be strongest in the tropics where the models were warming the atmosphere the most. No warming has been shown in the top 300 meters in the tropical Pacific back to the 1950s.

(9) Alarmists had predicted permanent El Nino but the last decade has featured 7 La Nina and just 3 El Nino years. This is related to the PDO and was predicted by those who look at natural factors.

(10) Alarmists had predicted …

Warmist Dana Nuccitelli chokes on his own vomit — cites his own laughable 97% study to push carbon tax – ‘Climate debate is settled; carbon tax is vital’

Meteorologist Anthony Watts responds to Dana Nuccitelli: Watts: ‘Nuccitelli thinks that a Carbon Tax is the solution. In a hilariously swivel-eyed op-ed he managed to get published at the Sacramento Bee,Viewpoints: Climate debate is settled; carbon tax is vital where the editorial board didn’t take note of the slow motion discrediting of his claims about the so called 97% scientific consensus,  Nuccitelli beams: ‘One of the most effective solutions – a revenue-neutral carbon tax’ — The only thing a Carbon Tax will command in California, is a mass exodus of business.’

Background on the fallacy of the new 97% ‘Consensus’ study:

Warmist Dana Nuccitelli Refuses Reality: UN IPCC Lead Author Dr. Richard Tol Calls John Cook’s ‘Consensus’ Survey ‘Silly Idea…Poorly Implemented’

UN IPCC Lead Author Richard Tol on Cook’s 97% Consensus study: ‘Cook survey included 10 of my 122 eligible papers. 5/10 were rated incorrectly. 4/5 were rated as endorse rather than neutral’

Retraction Watch: Warmist John Cook’s 97% consensus study falsely classifies scientists’ papers according to the scientists that published them — ‘When asked about the categorizations of Cook et al, – ‘It would be incorrect to claim that our paper was an endorsement of CO2-induced global warming’

Retraction Watch: Warmist John Cook claimed that papers by skeptics Craig D. Idso, Nicola Scafetta, and Nir J. Shaviv endorsed CO2-induced global warming?

Popular Technology.net: 97% Study Falsely Classifies Scientists’ Papers, “It would be incorrect to claim that our paper was an endorsement of CO2-induced global warming”: ‘Their responses are eye opening and evidence that the Cook et al. (2013) team falsely classified scientists’ papers as ‘endorsing AGW’, apparently believing to know more about the papers than their authors’

‘The 97% consensus claim – a lie of epic proportions’ – Warmist John Cook’s study exposed

Latest ’97% consensus’ study goes belly up: Study found more scientific publications whose abstracts reject global warming than say humans are primarily to blame for it!

Too funny: John Cook’s much touted study finds more papers that reject AGW completely than believe mostly manmade!

Cook’s 97% Consensus Study Game Plan Revealed by Hackers

UN IPCC Lead Author Richard Tol statistically deconstructs Cook’s the 97% Consensus study — Calls study’s ‘sampling strategy a load of nonsense’

Forbes Mag.: Global Warming Alarmists Caught Doctoring ’97-Percent Consensus’ Claims

Warmist Dana Nuccitelli Refuses Reality: UN IPCC Lead Author Dr. Richard Tol Calls John Cook’s ‘Consensus’ Survey ‘Silly