Friday, August 19, 2022
HomeClimate411Disconnect in the relationship between GMST and ECS

Disconnect in the relationship between GMST and ECS

-

Abstract. An analysis is presented of he disconnection between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 Historical and Future periods when considering the relationship of the individual model GMST changes and the climate sensitivity. I have included a simple model that can account for the period disconnection using the negative forcing of aerosol/cloud effects in the Historical period that is carried forward into the Future period. I attribute some of the uncertainty in simulations of this simple model to endogenous model decision (selection) uncertainty that leads to variations in the changes of the negative forcing in the Historical period carried forward into the Future period.

- Advertisment -

Related Articles

Aussie Climate Council Demands Automobile Companies boost Fuel Efficiency

"FCAI’s members selling dirty, inefficient cars into Australia well into the 2040s is not an option". But there is a legitimate reason Aussies tend...

The “Coming Climate Anarchy”… Run Away!!!

Dr. Parag Khanna and his PhD in international relations has earned a Billy Madison Lifetime Achievement award.

Jordan Peterson: Peddlers of Environmental Doom Have Shown Their True Totalitarian Colors

Corporations and utopians are offering authoritarian solutions to crises only democracy and free markets can solve