Sunday, July 25, 2021
Home Climate411 Disconnect in the relationship between GMST and ECS

Disconnect in the relationship between GMST and ECS

-

Abstract. An analysis is presented of he disconnection between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 Historical and Future periods when considering the relationship of the individual model GMST changes and the climate sensitivity. I have included a simple model that can account for the period disconnection using the negative forcing of aerosol/cloud effects in the Historical period that is carried forward into the Future period. I attribute some of the uncertainty in simulations of this simple model to endogenous model decision (selection) uncertainty that leads to variations in the changes of the negative forcing in the Historical period carried forward into the Future period.

- Advertisment -

Related Articles

Hubble Returns to Full Science Observations and Releases New Images

“I’m thrilled to see that Hubble has its eye back on the universe, once again capturing the kind of images that have intrigued and...

Ohio Eviscerates Preferred Siting, Accelerated Permission for Wind/Solar Developers (communities win!)

For a wind industry that has been overriding, even bull dozing, unwilling host communities, this new legal framework will be a significant brake. Some...

G20 fails to agree on climate goals in communique

Clearly China, Russia and India were never going to commit to give a date for phasing out coal power, as they know their economies...