Second largest 2-month drop in global average satellite temperatures.
Largest 2-month drop in tropical average satellite temperatures.
NOTE: This is the fifteenth monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the old Version 5.6 dataset are discussed here. Note we are now at “beta5” for Version 6, and the paper describing the methodology is still in peer review.
The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for June, 2016 is +0.34 deg. C, down 0.21 deg. C from the May value of +0.55 deg. C (click for full size version):
This gives a 2-month temperature fall of -0.37 deg. C, which is the second largest in the 37+ year satellite record…the largest was -0.43 deg. C in Feb. 1988.
In the tropics, there was a record fast 2-month cooling of -0.56 deg. C, just edging out -0.55 deg. C in June 1998 (also an El Nino weakening year).
The rapid cooling is from the weakening El Nino and approaching La Nina conditions by mid-summer or early fall.
With most models predicting La Nina conditions by the autumn, we can expect temperatures to tumble a lot further by the end of the year.
The 12 month mean to May 2016 is +0.46C. The Pause is still an embarrassing reality!