Wednesday, November 25, 2020
Home Left Column Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry: 'I remain highly critical of efforts to attribute...

Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry: ‘I remain highly critical of efforts to attribute extreme weather events to human caused climate change’


Curry: Detection and attribution of extreme weather events requires:

a very long time series of historical observations of the extreme event at a particular location (which is rarely available)

an understanding of the variability of extreme weather events associated with multi-decadal ocean oscillations (which requires at least a century of observations)

climate models that accurately simulate both natural internal variability on timescales of years to centuries and the extreme weather events (a pipe dream; we are not even close)

IMO the best, and most important, paper on extreme event attribution is a paper by Hall et al. [discussed previously at this link]. This paper by Hall et al. is not even referenced in the new National Academies report.

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