Satellite Datasets Show 2015 Not At All Record Year. Are El Nino Years Getting Cooler?

Satellite Datasets Show 2015 Not At All Record Year. Are El Nino Years Getting Cooler?

http://notrickszone.com/2015/10/24/satellite-datasets-show-2015-not-at-all-record-year-are-el-nino-years-getting-cooler/

Nonsense…With Gravy On Top! By wobleibtdieerderwaermung.de [translated, edited by P. Gosselin] Only the repeatedly and retroactively falsified datasets of the NOAA/NCDC, NASA/GISS and MetOffice/Hadley/CRU tell us that the global warming continues on. The global warming “pause”has been simply calculated away…. The unaltered (unfalsified) satellite measurements of the lower global troposphere (LT) by RSS and UAH through September 2015 on the other hand show no signs of a new record year since the record year of 1998 and the El Niño year of 2010. RSS (click to enlarge): “Figure 1. The least-squares linear-regression trend on the RSS satellite monthly global mean surface temperature anomaly dataset shows no global warming for 18 years 8 months since February 1997, though one-third of all anthropogenic forcings have occurred during the period of the Pause.” Source: There’s life in the old Pause yet. UAH: UAH chart showing lower troposphere (LT 82,5N – 82,5S) temperature deviations compared to the internationally used WMO climate mean for the period 1981-2010; from December 1978 – the start of the satellite era – to September 2015. Source: http://nsstc.uah.edu/climate/ There is nothing concerning either a new record since 1998, nor 2010 nor 2014. This is obvious for anyone who has a healthy meteorological understanding, or…? Also see DMG: the warming trend is uninterrupted! Does nonsense have a new name…? Even the warming number crunchers at the US NOAA show this at their monthly website, though somewhat hidden away, at www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/upper-air/201509 with a conversion calculation of the UAH und RSS datasets to the international usual 1981-2010 WMO climate mean: Here the NOAA still continues to use the warmer values of the older UAH data version www.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/t2lt/uahncdc_lt_5.6.txt, even though in April 2015 a new cooler version vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/v6.0beta/tlt/uahncdc_lt_6.0beta3 has been made public… NOAA table of satellite temperature deviations by UAH und RSS compared to the international usual WMO 1981-2010 climate mean for January to September 2015. At no. 3 and no. 5 there is no global warm record in the lower troposphere (LT) in 2015. Source: here. Compared to the 1998 record year, 2015, so far through September, the deviation is -0.2°K. and -0.3°K at RSS, i.e. colder. The record 1998 year finished at UAH with a deviation of +0.42°K and at RSS +0.45 K. Compared to the current level of +0,30°K at UAH and +0.22°K at RSS, …

Analysis: Hurricane Patricia: ‘The most that can be claimed is that Hurricane Patricia is the strongest hurricane in Eastern Pacific in last 30 years or so’

Hurricane Patricia

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/10/24/hurricane-patricia/

By Paul Homewood http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/centralamericaandthecaribbean/mexico/11952245/Hurricane-Patricia-hits-spares-Mexico-of-major-damage-so-far.html Despite apocalyptic forecasts, what has been touted as “the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Americas”, has made landfall in Mexico with relatively little damage so far. According to the Telegraph: Hurricane Patricia, the record-breaking category 5 hurricane, rumbled across western Mexico early on Saturday, uprooting trees and triggering some landslides but causing less damage than feared for such a massive storm, officials said. But almost five hours after landfall, President Enrique Pena Nieto addressed the nation on television, saying that the first reports “confirm that the damages have been smaller than those corresponding to a hurricane of this magnitude.” Fortunately, no deaths have been reported yet, although the storm remains a danger as it moves inland. Claimed “record wind speeds”, of course, rely on satellite measurements that we have only had for a few decades. Prior to that, we had to rely on ship and airplane measurements that were at best patchy, and tended to underestimate wind speeds as pilots were reluctant to fly into the centre of the most powerful hurricanes, understandably! Similarly, wind speeds on landfall relied on anemometors, which weren’t always where the highest speeds were, and too often were destroyed by high winds. About the most that can be claimed, therefore, is that Hurricane Patricia is the strongest hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in the last 30 years or so. However, any suggestion that Patricia is somehow unprecedented in recent history ignores the “Mexico” hurricane of 1959, also referred to by NOAA as “the Great Hurricane of 1959”. Ironically, this hurricane made landfall at the exact same place on the coast, Manzanillo. According to Wikipedia: The hurricane had devastating effects on the places it hit. It killed at least 1,000 people directly, and a total of 1,800 people. At that time, it was Mexico’s worst natural disaster in recent times. Most of the destruction was in Colima and Jalisco. A preliminary estimate of property damage was $280 million (1959 USD). The storm sank three merchant ships, and two other vessels. On one ship, the Sinaloa, 21 of 38 hands went down. On another, the El Caribe, all hands were lost. As many as 50 total boats were sunk. A quarter of the homes in Cihuatlán, Jalisco, were totally destroyed, leaving many homeless. In Manzanillo, Colima, 40 percent of all homes were destroyed, and four ships in the harbor …

NYT mocks Paul Ehrlich’s Overpopulation Fears: ‘Apocalyptic predictions fell as flat as ancient theories about shape of the Earth’

The Second half of the 1960s was a boom time for nightmarish visions of what lay ahead for humankind. In 1966, for example, a writer named Harry Harrison came out with a science fiction novel titled “Make Room! Make Room!” Sketching a dystopian world in which too many people scrambled for too few resources, the book became the basis for a 1973 film about a hellish future, “Soylent Green.” In 1969, the pop duo Zager and Evans reached the top of the charts with a number called “In the Year 2525,” which postulated that humans were on a clear path to doom.

No one was more influential — or more terrifying, some would say — than Paul R. Ehrlich, a Stanford University biologist. His 1968 book, “The Population Bomb,” sold in the millions with a jeremiad that humankind stood on the brink of apocalypse because there were simply too many of us. Dr. Ehrlich’s opening statement was the verbal equivalent of a punch to the gut: “The battle to feed all of humanity is over.” He later went on to forecast that hundreds of millions would starve to death in the 1970s, that 65 million of them would be Americans, that crowded India was essentially doomed, that odds were fair “England will not exist in the year 2000.” Dr. Ehrlich was so sure of himself that he warned in 1970 that “sometime in the next 15 years, the end will come.” By “the end,” he meant “an utter breakdown of the capacity of the planet to support humanity.”

As you may have noticed, England is still with us. So is India. Hundreds of millions did not die of starvation in the ’70s. Humanity has managed to hang on, even though the planet’s population now exceeds seven billion, double what it was when “The Population Bomb” became a best-seller and its author a frequent guest of Johnny Carson’s on “The Tonight Show.”

Dr. Ehrlich’s ominous declarations cause head-shaking among some who were once his allies, people who four decades ago shared his fears about overpopulation. One of them is Stewart Brand, founding editor of the Whole Earth Catalog.

After the passage of 47 years, Dr. Ehrlich offers little in the way of a mea culpa. Quite the contrary. Timetables for disaster like those he once offered have no significance, he told Retro Report, because to someone in his field …