No Record Temperature Year According To Satellites – 2015 temps to ‘finish well below both 1998 and 2010’

No Record Year According To Satellites

By Paul Homewood With September numbers now out, satellite data shows that global temperatures this year are going to finish well below both 1998 and 2010, despite very strong El Nino conditions for most of this year. Since April, according to NOAA’s MEI , this year’s El Nino has been much stronger than anything seen in 2010. Normally we can expect a lag of between 3 and 6 months for changes in the MEI to be reflected in atmospheric temperatures, so it is probable that the latter will continue to increase through the NH winter. It would be remarkable then if temperatures did not at least match those of 2010, but currently that is just what we are looking at. For this year to finish above 2010, temperatures for the last three months would have to go off the page. Of course, calendar years mean little on their own. What is more telling is the 12-month running average. On UAH, for instance, the 12-month average peaked at 0.36C, whereas currently it is 0.23C, and September came out at 0.25C. It is still highly likely that temperature anomalies will eventually go as high as 0.36C, but whether they stay at that level for 12 months is another matter. REMINDER As always, bear in mind that UAH and RSS work their anomalies out using different baselines, 1981-2010 and 1979-98 respectively. Hence UAH anomalies are lower, because they are including the warmer years after 1998.

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‘The Carbon Tax Rainmakers’ – Pay up to get the weather you want

Doing nothing would lead to the same CO2 levels only slightly sooner (two years). It is estimated that cutting US emissions in half by 2050 would impact earth temperatures less than 0.1 degrees C. These numbers are much too small to make any discernable difference in global temperature or weather (hurricanes, droughts, etc.)

A carbon tax (or fee) on energy in the US will cost about $3 trillion by 2030. It is estimated that the Citizen’s Climate Lobby carbon price rate will increase the cost of electricity about 8 cents/kWh by 2030.  Its intended purpose is to artificially kill coal and natural gas use (both 4 cents/kWh) compared to wind (8 cents/kWh) and solar (12-30 cents/kWh) and “…necessarily bankrupt fossil fuel power plants….” as stated by candidate Barak Obama in 2008. This will at least triple the cost of electricity most of which the middle class will pay after 2030 as there will no longer be any “dividend”.

Advocates of a carbon tax will argue that the US tax is only a start and the US needs to take the lead so the rest of the world will follow. It will take $44 trillion more to de-carbonize the rest of the world. And who will pay it?


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