A new record ‘Pause’ length: No global warming for 18 years 7 months – Temperature standstill extends to 223 months
Special to Climate Depot
The Pause draws blood
A new record Pause length: no warming for 18 years 7 months
By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
For 223 months, since January 1997, there has been no global warming at all (Fig. 1). This month’s RSS temperature shows the Pause setting a new record at 18 years 7 months.
It is becoming ever more likely that the temperature increase that usually accompanies an el Niño will begin to shorten the Pause somewhat, just in time for the Paris climate summit, though a subsequent La Niña would be likely to bring about a resumption and perhaps even a lengthening of the Pause.
Figure 1. The least-squares linear-regression trend on the RSS satellite monthly global mean surface temperature anomaly dataset shows no global warming for 18 years 7 months since January 1997.
The hiatus period of 18 years 7 months is the farthest back one can go in the RSS satellite temperature record and still show a sub-zero trend. The start date is not cherry-picked: it is calculated. And the graph does not mean there is no such thing as global warming. Going back further shows a small warming rate.
The Pause has now drawn blood. In the run-up to the world-government “climate” conference in Paris this December, the failure of the world to warm at all for well over half the satellite record has provoked the climate extremists to resort to desperate measures to try to do away with the Pause.
First there was Tom Karl with his paper attempting to wipe out the Pause by arbitrarily adding a hefty increase to all the ocean temperature measurements made by the 3600 automated ARGO bathythermograph buoys circulating in the oceans. Hey presto! All three of the longest-standing terrestrial temperature datasets – GISS, HadCRUT4 and NCDC – were duly adjusted, yet again, to show more global warming than has really occurred.
However, the measured and recorded facts are these. In the 11 full years April 2004 to March 2015, for which the ARGO system has been providing reasonably-calibrated though inevitably ill-resolved data (each buoy has to represent 200,000 km3 of ocean temperature with only three readings a month), there has been no warming at all in the upper 750 m, and only a little below that, so that the trend over the period of operation shows a warming equivalent to just 1 C° every …
Watch: Morano on Fox on EPA ‘Climate’ Plan: ‘This is a nonsensical plan when it comes to climate with a lot of economic pain’
Fox Business Host Stuart Varney – ‘Varney & Company’ – August 5, 2015
Varney asks Climate Depot publisher Marc Morano: Obama said we are currently at the “highest level of carbon for 800,000.”
Morano: “Studies have shown that 10,000+ years ago levels may have been similar levels.
If you go back further in the geologic record, we have had ice ages with carbon dioxide higher.
There is no correlation with CO2. There are hundreds of factors impacting climate. Technically Obama is correct, but it does not mean anything. CO2 is a greenhouse gas, but it is overwhelmed by other factors and you cannot distinguish CO2’s impact from natural variability whether you are talking temperature, sea level, extreme storms. There is no climate signal when you look at that.
And there is actually a new survey showing that the alleged 97% of climate scientists who endorse Obama’s climate view drops to under 50% when they are asked if CO2 is basically the control knob for the climate. He is wrong in his implication, but he is technically right on his one fact.”
Obama claimed hottest years on record?
Morano: “No. Right now, the satellite data today shows we are at 18 years 7 months (new record length) the global warming pause has continued. When they claim a ‘hottest year’, they are talking about hundredths of a degree different between these years. The error margin is tenths of a degree. In other words, there is no way they can make the ‘hottest’ year claim scientifically. And they actually admitted it. NASA said there is only a 38% chance of the claim being accurate. The Associated Press had to actually retract these claims of 2014 being the hottest year. It’s statistical nonsense.
We have warmed up until the end of the 20th century and then it stopped since late 1990s. So any claims about it being the hottest years are based on measurements that are immeasurable. You cannot distinguish between years.
NASA’s former lead global warming scientist James Hansen came and said this plan is ‘practically worthless’ and he said ‘you’ve got to be kidding me’. Obama’s own EPA chief admitted it would have no impact on global temperature let alone impacts on global CO2 levels. It’s pure symbolism. So even if you believe Al Gore and Pres. Obama’s science views, this EPA …