Update: Excuse number 10 for the global warming ‘pause’ — ‘Coincidence!’, according to NASA scientists: ‘Coincidence, conspired to dampen warming trends’
Skeptical website Bishop Hill Analysis: ‘Schmidt and his colleagues are looking at the hiatus in surface temperature rises and considers why the CMIP5 ensemble all got it so wrong. In their new paper they explain that the reason for this is not – as wild-eyed readers at BH might think – that the models are wonky. In fact it’s all down to an incredible, incredible coincidence’
NASA’s Gavin Schmidt’s paper: ‘Here we argue that a combination of factors, by coincidence, conspired to dampen warming trends in the real world after about 1992. CMIP5 model simulations were based on historical estimates of external influences on the climate only to 2000 or 2005, and used scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways, or RCPs) thereafter.
Bishop Hill Analysis: ‘Apparently, if you go back and rework all the forcings, taking into account new data estimates (add half a bottle of post-hoc figures) and ‘reanalyses’ of old data (add a tablespoon of computer simulation) you can bridge the gap and explain away the pause.’
NASA’s Schmidt’s paper: ‘Nevertheless, attributing climate trends over relatively short periods, such as 10 to 15 years, will always be problematic, and it is inherently unsatisfying to find model–data agreement only with the benefit of hindsight.’
Bishop Hill Analysis: ‘So, with the benefit of hindsight, the climate modellers can fit their square peg into a round hole. It wasn’t that the models were running too hot, it was just that nature has got it in for climate modellers.’
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Climate Depot Analysis: ‘There have been at least nine ten separate explanations for the standstill in global warming’ – 1) Low Solar Activity; 2) Oceans Ate Warming; 3) Chinese Coal Use; 4) Montreal Protocol; 5) Readjusted past temps to claim ‘pause’ never existed 6) Volcanoes 7) Decline in Water Vapor 8) Pacific Trade Winds 9) ‘Stadium Waves’ 10) ‘Coincidence’
Welcome to the world of ‘settled science’. With the latest study now placing blame on Sun for the ‘pause’ in global temperatures, that means there have been at least five seven eight nine ten separate explanations to attempt to explain the standstill in global warming. There is seemingly no end to warmists’ attempts to explain the global warming standstill.
Update Feb. 28, 2014: Der Spiegel On 15-Year Pause: ‘Biggest Mystery In Climate Science’: ‘Climate models had never expected the pause: Only 3 of 114 climate …
Rewriting Their Own Temperature Past At The National Academy Of Sciences: ‘Massively altered temp history since their 1975 report. They have eliminated most of the 1940-1970 cooling’
…ADL Person who condemned Dr. Roy Spencer from Anti Defamation League is apparently a climate activist
John Kerry doubles down on climate change: ‘It is increasingly a national security threat’
…French Government Policies to Reduce Pesticide Use Will Lower Food Production
…‘The Original Sin of Global Warming’: Claimed 97% of scientists who believe catastrophic global warming, is same margin dictators claim they won re-election – ‘Voting for the ‘wrong’ result is not tolerated’
http://thefederalist.com/2014/02/26/the-original-sin-of-global-warming/…
Are Climate ‘Deniers’ Anti-Women? Study: ‘Global Warming Will Cause 180,000 More Rapes by 2099’ – Can a carbon tax save you from being raped?!
Via Mother Jones: http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2014/02/climate-change-murder-rape
property crimes, especially burglary and larceny, initially tend to increase as the weather warms but then level off once temperatures reach about 50 degrees. This suggests that cold weather may create obstacles to committing these types of crimes—Ranson cites closed windows, for example—obstacles that disappear when it’s warmer outside.
By contrast, the relationship between violent crime and temperature appears to be highly linear—as temperatures keep rising, so does the number of crimes
End Mother Jones article excerpt.
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REPORT: ‘Experts are more certain than ever that human activity is changing the global climate’
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