Listen Now: Interview with The Man Who Debunked the Hockey Stick – ‘Talks with Ross McKitrick who, with Stephen McIntyre, debunked the famous ‘Hockey Stick’ graph used by the IPCC, Al Gore’
Power Hour: The Man Who Debunked the Hockey Stick
On this episode of Power Hour, Alex Epstein talks with Dr. Ross McKitrick who, with Dr. Stephen McIntyre, debunked the famous “Hockey Stick” graph used by the IPCC, Al Gore, and just about every other person and organization pushing for government action in the face of purportedly catastrophic global warming.
Dr. McKitrick is professor of economics at the University of Quelph, senior fellow at the Fraser Institute, co-author of the book Taken By Storm: The Troubled Science, Policy and Politics of Global Warming, and author of Economic Analysis of Environmental Policy.
Download Episode 72 – The Man Who Debunked the Hockey Stick
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Watershed…Leading German Business Weekly Declares IPCC Science A Failure: ‘Time For A New Climate Policy’ – ‘Write of scientists using ‘horror scenarios’ to scare leaders into rash policymaking’
Watershed…Leading German Business Weekly Declares IPCC Science A Failure: “Time For A New Climate Policy”
Dieter Dürand and Sven Titz write at Germany’s flagship business weekly Wirthschaftswoche (English: Business Week) that it’s high time for a new climate policy in the wake of the massive IPCC failures.
Germany’s “Wirtschaftswoche” publishes unusually harsh article on IPCC science.
Fear-driven science is a failure
The authors write of scientists using “horror scenarios” to scare leaders into rash policymaking. Wirtschaftswoche cites three examples: hunger, war, and species extinction. They add:
The facts refute many end-of-world prophesies or at least greatly diminish them. …the time is ripe for a new climate policy.”
Wirtschaftswoche describes a science that has been dominated by doomsday-sayers and shoddy computer simulations and gives a list of examples of totally botched predictions.
The German business weekly is the latest in a string of German flagship media outlets to openly express skepticism and dissastisfaction with IPCC science and to harshly criticize IPCC results. Wirtschaftswoche writes:
Humbly and quietly the IPCC is forced to admit that the central mechanism for global warming is not functioning like the scientists said it would, at least for the time being. […] Even though CO2 concentrations are increasing like the scientists have said it would, global warming has paused for 15 years. No IPCC climate model had predicted that.”
Moreover, Wirtschaftswoche adds that “scientists are urgently scrambling for an explanation“:
One thing is clear, something cannot be right with the previous simulations. The climate is obviously reacting far less sensitively to the rise in greenhouse gases than feared.
Mann’s hockey stick among top 5 climate bloopers
Wirtschaftswoche also highlights the top 5 grossly blundered claims made by IPCC scientists: 1) increasing cyclone frequency, 2) the hockey stick chart, 3) rapidly melting sea ice, 4) melting Himalayan glaciers, 5) Africa threatened by starvation. All of these have turned out to be false, writes Wirtschftswoche.
On Michael Mann’s hockey stick chart: The magazine writes:
There’s a suspicion that scientists led by US climatologist Michael Mann ‘smoothed’ the climate curve in order to underscore drama.”
Wirtschaftswoche also expresses surprise that Antarctic sea ice is near record highs and that cyclones are not growing in frequency, and that the IPCC only mentions extreme weather frequency on the very fringes of its report. In summary the business weekly concludes that much is rotten with the current state of IPCC science, and …
Geologist E. Kirsten Peters new book: ‘The Whole Story of Climate’ – ‘While the typical American has the impression that climate would be stable if it weren’t for industrialization and the production of greenhouse gases from smokestacks and cars, geologic history in fact reveals a ceaselessly changing climate running back into the time thousands of years before the modern economy’
E. Kirsten Peters | The Whole Story of Climate
‘It is past time to start new conversations not predicated on the framework of somehow holding climate static through the sacrifices of carbon taxes or caps.’…
Cold spell near? Geologist digs deeper on climate change | Opinion – Rhode Islanders speak out on issues | Providence Journal
It is a book called “The Whole Story of Climate: What Science Reveals About the Nature of Endless Change” (Prometheus Books). The author, E. Kirsten Peters, is a geologist who says that what people are likely to have gleaned from media reports on climate change is “only one isolated part of a much longer and richer climate story.”
Climate science, with its computer models, is a Johnny-come-lately to the narrative. Not so geology. “For almost 200 years,” Peters writes, “geologists have studied the basic evidence of how climate has changed on our planet.” They work not with computer models but with “direct physical evidence left in the muck and rocks.”
Space constraints preclude any detailed summary of Peters’s accessible but jam-packed little book. But some take-aways can be noted.
The first thing to note, though, is that we could be long overdue for a cold spell. In recent geologic history, which stretches back a couple of million years — geologists have an expansive view of time — Earth’s climate has been characterized by long periods of bitter cold punctuated by brief episodes of warmth. “The cycle,” Peters notes, “is always a long period of cold followed by a much shorter period of warmth.” Specifically, the cold intervals last about 100,000 years, and the warm ones about 10,000. The period we are living in, called the Holocene, began 11,700 years ago, which makes it “no different at all from other brief, warm intervals in the Pleistocene,” the previous epoch that lasted those couple of million years.
Peters uses the analogy of a football field to help readers visualize all this. We in the Holocene are positioned at the edge of one of the end zones. The cold periods average about 5.5 yards, the warm ones about half a yard.
Another point Peters is at pains to emphasize is that climate change can be quite abrupt. Toward the end of the Pleistocene Epoch, northern Europe experienced a period of warming called the Allerod Oscillation that lasted about 1,000 years. The pollen record indicates that the “shift to renewed bitter cold took place very rapidly, certainly within a single human lifetime.”
Most of the publicity on climate change has focused on temperature, but precipitation patterns can be deeply worrisome, as well. …
Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry: ‘The amount of time and funding that has been wasted by using climate models for purposes for which that are unfit, may eventually be judged to be colossal”
Curry: “The amount of time and funding that has been wasted by using climate models for purposes for which that are unfit, may eventually be judged to be colossal”
Trust, and don’t bother to verify | Climate Etc.
There are many paleoclimate papers published in these papers that include dubious statistical methods and great leaps of logic…….And why do these scientists think climate models are fit for these purposes? Why, the IPCC has told them so, with very high confidence. The manufactured consensus of the IPCC has arguably set our true understanding of the climate system back at least a decade, in my judgment….The amount of time and funding that has been wasted by using climate models for purposes for which that are unfit, may eventually be judged to be colossal.
And finally, getting back to the ‘verify’ and replication issue, the blogosphere is already playing a hugely important role here, with McIntyre as the original auditor, longstanding contributions from Lucia, and a host of competent new blogospheric auditors that are emerging.…
Antarctic sea ice still at record high — where is springtime melt? ‘Temperatures at the South Pole show 30 years of climate sameness’
Antarctic sea ice still at record high — where is springtime melt?
Whatever happened to polar amplification? The oceans are apparently warming, and yet the sea-ice abounds in the Southern Hemisphere. A new record was set at 19.57 million square kilometers of ice [NSIDC-nrt], around one million more than the usual amount. (Yesterday ice covered 19.11m km2). … Source: http://iup.physik.uni-bremen.de:8084/amsr2/ National Snow and Ice Data Center Web site. Records date back to October 1978. NSIDC also has a similar graph of daily sea-ice-extent. The size of the sea-ice surrounding Antarctica is spectacular. We can just see the outline of the landmass here to appreciate just how much of the Southern Hemisphere is covered with sea-ice right now. … Source: NSIDC Temperatures at the South Pole show 30 years of climate sameness. These are satellite recordings of temperatures in the air over Antarctica (70S – 60S). … I see Paul Homewood has also noticed this record. He points out that the peak this year was Oct 1, which is ten days later than the usual Sept 22 peak. He also notes that the global sea-ice is above normal, even though Arctic Ice is lower than usual. What does this peak in sea-ice mean? It means […]Rating: 10.0/10 (4 votes cast)
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