39th Daily Record of Year for Antarctic Sea Ice Extent
39th Daily Record of Year for Antarctic Sea Ice Extent
September 34 (Day 247) saw the 39th Daily Record of the Year for Antarctic Sea Ice Extent.
Antarctic Sea Ice Extent is 19.16 million sq km.
If you add up the number of daily records, 2013 is a distant 3rd behind 2008 and 2010. However, if you also add in 2nd place finishes, 2013 slightly edges out 2010. And 118 days remain in the year.
Year
Firsts
Seconds
Top 2
2008
125
49
174
2013
39
109
148
2010
107
39
146
2006
20
28
48
2009
8
33
41
2012
27
11
38
2007
21
2
23
1998
4
16
20
2005
3
15
18
1979
2
12
14
2004
5
4
9
2000
4
3
7
1980
1
3
4
Click graph for bigger. Data is here.…
New paper in Nature Climate Change says IPCC uses statistical techniques ‘out of date by well over a decade’
New paper in Nature Climate Change says IPCC uses statistical techniques ‘out of date by well over a decade’
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2013/09/new-paper-in-nature-climate-change-says.html
A new paper published in Nature Climate Change finds, “Use of state-of-the-art statistical methods could substantially improve the quantification of uncertainty in [IPCC] assessments of climate change” and that “The forthcoming Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) and the US National Climate Assessment Report will not adequately address this issue. Worse still, prevailing techniques for quantifying the uncertainties that are inherent in observed climate trends and projections of climate change are out of date by well over a decade. Modern statistical methods and models could improve this situation dramatically.” The authors recommend, “Including at least one author with expertise in uncertainty analysis on all chapters of IPCC and US national assessments” and that the IPCC “Replace qualitative assessments of uncertainty with quantitative ones.” A prime example of this would be the ludicrous IPCC claim that it is “very likely” man is the cause of climate change.
Box 1: Recommendations to improve uncertainty quantification.
Replace qualitative assessments of uncertainty with quantitative ones.
Reduce uncertainties in trend estimates for climate observations and projections through use of modern statistical methods for spatio-temporal data.
Increase the accuracy with which the climate is monitored by combining various sources of information in hierarchical statistical models.
Reduce uncertainties in climate change projections by applying experimental design to make more efficient use of computational resources.
Quantify changes in the likelihood of extreme weather events in a manner that is more useful to decision-makers by using methods that are based on the statistical theory of extreme values.
Include at least one author with expertise in uncertainty analysis on all chapters of IPCC and US national assessments.
Uncertainty analysis in climate change assessments
Richard W. Katz,
Peter F. Craigmile,
Peter Guttorp,
Murali Haran,
Bruno Sansó
& Michael L. Stein
Affiliations
Corresponding author
Nature Climate Change 3, 769–771 (2013) doi:10.1038/nclimate1980
Published online
28 August 2013
Article tools
Use of state-of-the-art statistical methods could substantially improve the quantification of uncertainty in assessments of climate change.
Because the climate system is so complex, involving nonlinear coupling of the atmosphere and ocean, there will always be uncertainties in assessments and projections of climate change. This makes it hard to predict how the intensity of tropical cyclones will change as the climate warms, the rate of sea-level rise over the next …
Washington Times: The globe cools, and Al Gore’s ‘Climate Reality’ does too
Washington Times: The globe cools, and Al Gore’s ‘Climate Reality’ does too
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2013/09/washington-times-globe-cools-and-al.html
Reality intrudes on a hot dream
The globe cools, and Al Gore’s ‘Climate Reality’ does, too
The Washington Times 9/5/13
Al Gore’s multimillion-dollar scheme to persuade the world that global warming is about to boil, fry or saute us all is disappearing faster than an ice cube on the sidewalk on a summer day.
The former vice president reached the peak of his popularity with the 2006 release of his Oscar-winning scare-film “An Inconvenient Truth,” for which he was hailed as a genius and basked in A-list status at Hollywood soirees. He wasted no time on his return to the spotlight and founded the Climate Reality Project, a group to spread the word about an imminent planetary cataclysm that could only be averted by adopting his agenda. That’s the scheme melting now.
Al collected $87.4 million in donations in 2008, and the website BuzzFeed reports that once it caught fire, he could spend nearly $30 million annually on television commercials and grass-roots operations. It even conned some conservatives, such as former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and the Rev. Pat Robertson, to appear in television commercials. Mr. Gingrich, sadder but wiser, later called the commercial the “dumbest thing I’ve done in the last four years.”
In hindsight, perhaps the Climate Reality Project wasn’t such a scorcher of an idea after all. By 2011, receipts had fallen 80 percent, to $17.6 million. Even wealthy liberals aren’t terminally stupid. Wallets and purses snapped shut as reality arrived and the promised cataclysmic warming never happened.
The scorekeepers of global-warming alarmism, the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change, is about to release its fifth Assessment Report, which is said to admit that the planet has been cooling, not warming. A leaked draft version of the report concedes the very inconvenient truth, and casts doubt on the claim that man plays a role in triggering “extreme weather.”
The U.N. forgot to send an advance copy of the findings to Mr. Gore. On Thursday, the Nobel Peace Prize winner pointed to dramatic photographs of wildfires in Yosemite National Park, as if the arid Western region had never burned prior to the Industrial Revolution. “As temps rise,” Mr. Gore tweeted, “fires are becoming worse and worse across our country.”
Actually, the fires are doing no such thing.
This wildfire season has been the weakest in …
No Correlation Between US Drought And CO2: ‘There has actually been a slight decrease in drought as CO2 has increased’
…UK Met Office admits: ‘No evidence we are seeing things that could not have happened without natural weather variability’
…Claim: Extreme weather 4x more likely now than pre-industrial era — Global warming has increased risk of record heat, say Stanford scientists
…Makin’ it up: Half of 2012 wild weather linked to climate change
The Associated Press reports:
…A study of a dozen of last year’s wildest weather events finds that in about half the cases, manmade global warming increased the likelihood of their occurrence.
Researchers with the United States and British governments concluded Thursday that the other cases reflected the random freakiness of weather.
They said climate change had made these events more likely: U.S. heat waves, Superstorm Sandy flooding, shrinking Arctic sea ice, drought in Europe’s Iberian peninsula, and extreme rainfall in Australia and New Zealand.
They found no connection for the U.S. drought, Europe’s summer extremes, a cold spell in the Netherlands’ winter, drought in eastern Kenya and Somalia, floods in northern China and heavy rain in southwestern Japan.
The study appears in in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
Meteorologist Anthony Watts: ‘NOAA goes full alarmist with new publication, seeing AGW in extreme weather events’ — Report ‘claims to see an AGW link in half of the severe weather events of 2012 they studied’
…Real Science blasts global warming movement: ‘Climate Alarmists Have A 97% Failure Rate’ – ‘This is by far the biggest junk science incident in history’
Fast forward 2019
NOTE: Above is a spoof. All credit to Marc Morano. “Any resemblance to persons living or dead is a complete embarrassment”. The New York Times conceded this week that tropical rainforest problems had been hyped, nearly a decade after Morano pointed it out.
The New York Times
February 2, 2019
Scientists Now Say Global Warming Fears Fading Away – Claim Warming Consensus Never Existed
By Andrew Revko – New York Times Environmental Reporter
As the Earth continues to cool, UN scientists now concede that CO2 was never the climate driver many made it out to be. The entire multi-trillion dollar global warming movement now appears to have been a result of massive funding, media hype and group think.
The UN IPCC claims it never really promoted man-made climate fears and instead urged media outlets to cover its new environmental claim, the scarcity of oxygen on Earth. The UN issued a warning last week declaring it was “immoral” to question the new consensus that the Earth was fast running out of oxygen. “As citizens of the world prepare to take their last gasps of air, they have no one to blame for our continued inaction but the well-funded oxygen denial industry,” said UN chief Al Gone. [Note: There are actually people warning about the “oxygen crisis” in 2008.]
Researcher Naomi Oresko, echoed Gore, declaring that her analysis of 55,000 studies proved that all scientists agree the Earth is running out of oxygen.
Andrew Dresslear of Gripe Magazine noted that there were only two dozen scientists who are not part of the new consensus regarding he “oxygen crisis.”
Many scientists now deny ever being worried about CO2 emissions.
Gavin Schmite maintains he and his colleagues at Wishful Climate never promoted man-made global warming fears. “This is simply the deniers inventing history,” Schmite said.
“First the deniers claimed that some scientists hyped a coming ice age in the 1970′s and now they are claiming we hyped warming in the latter part of 20th century and the first decade of the 21th century. What the world needs to understand is Wishfull Climate has never and can never be wrong because all weather and climate are perfectly consistent with all of our models. There has never been a climatic event that was not predicted by our models,” a red-faced Schmite insisted.
Schmite however did concede that climate models have appeared to