66% Increase In Arctic Sea Ice Over 2012
66% Increase In Arctic Sea Ice Over 2012
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2013/08/25/66-increase-in-arctic-sea-ice-over-2012
Green shows ice present in 2013 which was not present on this date in 2012. Red shows the opposite. Arctic Sea-Ice Monitor Arctic ice extent is the highest since 2005 COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut…
CBS NEWS: “Farmers’ Almanac” predicts a “bitterly cold” winter
“Farmers’ Almanac” predicts a “bitterly cold” winter – CBS News
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-201_162-57600023/farmers-almanac-predicts-a-bitterly-cold-winter/
The Farmers’ Almanac is using words like “piercing cold,” “bitterly cold” and “biting cold” to describe the upcoming winter. And if its predictions are right, the first outdoor Super Bowl in years will be a messy “Storm Bowl.”
The 197-year-old publication that hits newsstands Monday predicts a winter storm will hit the Northeast around the time the Super Bowl is played at MetLife Stadium in the Meadowlands in New Jersey. It also predicts a colder-than-normal winter for two-thirds of the country and heavy snowfall in the Midwest, Great Lakes and New England.
“We’re using a very strong four-letter word to describe this winter, which is C-O-L-D. It’s going to be very cold,” said Sandi Duncan, managing editor.
Based on planetary positions, sunspots and lunar cycles, the almanac’s secret formula is largely unchanged since founder David Young published the first almanac in 1818.
Modern scientists don’t put much stock in sunspots or tidal action, but the almanac says its forecasts used by readers to plan weddings and plant gardens are correct about 80 percent of the time.
Last year, the forecast called for cold weather for the eastern and central U.S. with milder temperatures west of the Great Lakes. It started just the opposite but ended up that way.
Caleb Weatherbee, the publication’s elusive prognosticator, said he was off by only a couple of days on two of the season’s biggest storms: a February blizzard that paralyzed the Northeast with 3 feet of snow in some places and a sloppy storm the day before spring’s arrival that buried parts of New England.
Readers who put stock in the almanac’s forecasts may do well to stock up on long johns, especially if they’re lucky enough to get tickets to the Super Bowl on Feb. 2. The first Super Bowl held outdoors in a cold-weather environment could be both super cold and super messy, with a big storm due Feb. 1 to 3, the almanac says.
Said Duncan: “It really looks like the Super Bowl may be the Storm Bowl.”…
More Antarctic Ice? Feds Pretend They Forecast It! ‘Why is the United States Antarctic Program, a federally funded body, misleading the public?’
More Antarctic Ice? Feds Pretend They Forecast It!
By Paul Homewood
http://antarcticsun.usap.gov/science/contenthandler.cfm?id=2889
The United State Antarctic Program is funded by the NSF, or National Science Foundation, an independent Federal Agency. In their latest report, they state that:-
The positive growth of total sea ice extent around Antarctica, which averages 18 million square kilometers at the height of winter, is part of a long-term trend and is consistent with how scientists believe climate change affects the southernmost continent.
There have been various attempts lately to link increasing ice extent with global warming. But what were scientists really predicting?
1) Only last year, the AMS published a paper by three NCAR experts, “Antarctic Sea Ice Climatology, Variability, and Late Twentieth-Century Change in CCSM4”.
According to their work, their models all predicted “significant decreasing annual trends” in sea ice area.
ABSTRACT
A preindustrial control run and an ensemble of twentieth-century integrations of the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4), are evaluated for Antarctic sea ice climatology, modes of variability, trends, and covariance with related physical variables such as surface temperature and sea level pressure. Compared to observations, the mean ice cover is too extensive in all months. This is in part related to excessively strong westerly winds over ~50°–60°S, which drive a large equatorward meridional ice transport and enhanced ice growth near the continent and also connected with a cold bias in the Southern Ocean. In spite of these biases in the climatology, the model’s sea ice variability compares well to observations. The leading mode of austral winter sea ice concentration exhibits a dipole structure with anomalies of opposite sign in the Atlantic and Pacific sectors. Both the El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the southern annular mode (SAM) project onto this mode. In twentieth-century integrations, Antarctic sea ice area exhibits significant decreasing annual trends in all six ensemble members from 1950 to 2005, in apparent contrast to observations that suggest a modest ice area increase since 1979. Two ensemble members show insignificant changes when restricted to 1979–2005. The ensemble mean shows a significant increase in the austral summer SAM index over 1960–2005 and 1979–2005 that compares well with the observed SAM trend. However, Antarctic warming and sea ice loss in the model are closely connected to each other and not to the trend in the SAM.
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00289.1
2) In May 2013, another paper by Lorenzo Polvani was even clearer on the issue, …
New York Times Predicts That there Will Be More Hurricanes: ‘The US has been hit by 287 hurricanes since 1850, and the geniuses at the New York Times predict that Sandy will not be the last one’
New York Times Predicts That there Will Be More Hurricanes
The US has been hit by 287 hurricanes since 1850, and the geniuses at the New York Times predict that Sandy will not be the last one. The Next Hurricane, and the Next – NYTimes.com The New York Times advocates invoking economy wrecking measures, in order to make the climate like it was in the […]…
Global Sea Ice Area Averaging 1,600 Manhattans Above Normal In 2013
Global Sea Ice Area Averaging 1,600 Manhattans Above Normal In 2013
arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/timeseries.global.anom.1979-2008 Climate experts say that polar ice is the canary in the coal mine for global warming, which means that they probably need to go back to school and learn a legitimate profession.…