Slap Down of new study claiming ‘Climate change effects increasingly influencing U.S. thunderstorm losses’ — ‘Strong public claims simply cannot be supported by the actual research’

Pielke Excerpt: It is here where the reader of the paper might find themself being taken for a fool…’the paper suffers from an obvious fatal error…The paper says nothing conclusive about attribution. It is not an “initial climate change footprint.” It does not support the claim that “climate change effects increasingly influencing US thunderstorm losses.’

In fact, the paper says much the opposite: attribution of losses to climate change was not achieved in the paper.

So let’s recap:

  • Munich Re claimed to have discovered the first “climate change footprint” in economic loss data.
  • That was incorrect.
  • Munich Re claimed in the headline of the press released announcing SEFS13 that “climate change effects increasingly influencing US thunderstorms.”
  • That turns out not to be supported by the paper, which actually concludes the opposite.
  • SEFS13 argues a causal mechanism between increasing humidity, thunderstorm variability and by extension, to normalized losses.
  • The paper fails to report that in the region where most US thunderstorm activity and damage has occurred, the data shows no change in humidity 1973 to 1999 — undercutting its core argument. The paper reports data for an accompanying region where there has been an increase in humidity, but very few losses.

Misleading public claims. An over-hyped press release. A paper which neglects to include materially relevant and contradictory information central to its core argument. All in all, just a normal day in climate science!…

Watch Now: Climate Depot’s Morano on Fox News about Global Temperature Flatline

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Fox News features Climate Depot: Climate change skeptics seize on reports showing temperatures leveling

Morano: ‘The idea that CO2 is the tail that wags the dog is no longer scientifically tenable,’ said Marc Morano of ClimateDepot.com, a website devoted to countering the prevailing acceptance of man-made global warming…Morano said: ‘In the peer-reviewed literature we’re finding hundreds of factors influence global temperature, everything from ocean cycles to the tilt of the earth’s axis to water vapor, methane, cloud feedback, volcanic dust, all of these factors are coming together. They’re now realizing it wasn’t the simple story we’ve been told of your SUV is creating a dangerously warm planet.’ 

Morano: ‘In the proceedings of the National Academy of Science a year or two ago they had a study blaming Chinese coal use for the lack of global warming. So, in an ironic twist, global warming proponents are now claiming that that coal use is saving us from dangerous global warming.’

UN IPCC’s Kevin Trenberth redefines global warming: Warming No Longer Requires Warming –’Global warming is continuing but it’s being manifested in somewhat different ways,’ said Kevin Trenberth, of the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research. Warming can go, for instance, to the air, water, land or to melting ice and snow…’pauses in surface warming could last 15-20 years’

Where’s the warming? ‘The ocean ate my global warming’

Climate Depot Round Up: ‘The great warmist retreat has officially begun. The mainstream media cannot maintain the official man-made global warming narrative any longer’

CLIMATE CHANGE ENDGAME IN SIGHT? ‘The problem for the climateers is increasingly dire’

‘As The Economist shows in its first chart, the recent temperature record is now falling distinctly to the very low end of its predicted range and may soon fall out of it, which means the models are wrong, or, at the very least, that there’s something going on that supposedly “settled” science hasn’t been able to settle.  Equally problematic for the theory, one place where the warmth might be hiding—the oceans—is not cooperating with the story line.  Recent data show that ocean warming has noticeably slowed, too, as shown’

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